Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

13

David Gustafsson

Winnipeg Jets Center

Six career penalty minutes in 113 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20WPG22101-20001425.06:09
2020-21WPG4000-1000010.05:49
2021-22WPG20000000002:28
2022-23WPG46066+26000450.010:06
2023-24WPG39347+100002711.19:16
2024-25 so far
Career1134101406001775.28:45

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

39 games, 3 goals and 4 assists for 7 points, no penalty minutes at all, 9:16 a night and plus-1. He took 43.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 330 minutes, the 12th percentile, and his ice went 10-10 against an expectation of 9.66-12.63.

Level with the chances at the offensive end and three goals of goaltending above them. Forty-three point three per cent is the lowest chance share of any forward on this club.

The Finesse Game

40 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 45 per cent of them from inside twenty and 28 per cent from beyond forty, 27 of those on goal, converted at 11.1 per cent against a career 5.19 across 77 shots.

Four career goals and 10 assists in 113 games. There is very little offence here and none of it is created; forty attempts in 39 games at nine minutes a night is a fourth-line centre who is not being asked to shoot.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 196 and took no penalty minutes in 39 games.

Six career penalty minutes in 113 games. That is the smallest total of anybody in this edition who has played a hundred games; he is a reasonable size and simply never engages in anything a referee would notice.

The Intangibles

Sixtieth overall in 2018 by Winnipeg, five seasons, one organisation, and 14 points in 113 games.

A career plus-minus of exactly even in 113 games. He is 24, he was a second-round pick by this club, and he has never played more than 46 games in a season.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 330 minutes

Expected goals
43.3%
12th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.1%
48th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 10 against. Expected: 9.7 and 12.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
12th

The report ranks him 55 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 330 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WPG took 52.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.3% — 8.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 330 minutes at five-on-five — 8th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Morgan Barron43.9%42.2%49.2%
Dylan Samberg42.3%44.0%53.6%
Brenden Dillon37.2%45.7%50.8%

43.9% together, 42.2% for him apart and 49.2% for Barron apart. Barron was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

40 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.