Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

43

Danton Heinen

Boston Bruins Left Wing

A fourth-line winger with the 80th percentile in five-on-five share and the 7th in distance covered.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17BOS8000-3200070.013:14
2017-18BOS77163147+101621413511.815:01
2018-19BOS77112334+13161021149.713:58
2019-20BOS/ANA67101626-2103021099.214:28
2020-21ANA437714-90101769.214:46
2021-22PIT76181533+61630113813.012:43
2022-23PIT6581422-512100968.310:45
2023-24 so far
Career41370106176+10721111067510.413:35

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 14 assists in 65 games for Pittsburgh — 22 points at 10:45 a night, minus-5, on 96 shots, converting at 8.33 per cent, and 12 penalty minutes.

53.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 651 minutes, the 80th percentile — a very good number for a man playing under eleven minutes. His ice went 25-29 against an expectation of 29.13-25.04, which is four goals of scoring missing and four more conceded than the chances predicted: the results were worse than the shifts.

The Finesse Game

96 attempts at a median of 27 feet, 36 per cent from inside 20 and 25 per cent from beyond 40, off a 92.3 mph shot at the 61st percentile.

70 goals and 176 points in 413 career games. The best season of his career was his first, 47 points as a rookie in Boston in 2017-18, and six years of trying to get back to it have produced nothing above 34.

He reads the game well and makes the correct simple play, which is what keeps him employed.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 187 and there is almost nothing physical — 72 penalty minutes in 413 games, one of the lightest rates in this book.

1.80 miles a game is the 7th percentile, which is partly the ten-minute role and partly a player who does not chase. 22.2 mph at the 47th percentile is ordinary. He is a positional forward and neither the speed nor the work rate is a selling point.

The Intangibles

A hundred and sixteenth overall in 2014, out of Denver, and this is his second time in Boston — the club that drafted him, traded him, and has now signed him back at 28.

He is a useful thirteenth forward and the club is currently short enough at centre that he may play a good deal more than that, which is a description of Boston’s problem rather than a promotion for him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.18 penalty minutes a game over 65, 9th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He reads the game well and makes the correct simple play, which is what keeps him employed.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-2 and 187 and there is almost nothing physical — 72 penalty minutes in 413 games, one of the lightest rates in this book”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 651 minutes

Expected goals
53.8%
80th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51%
61st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 29 against. Expected: 29.1 and 25.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
29th
Numbers
80th

The numbers rank him 51 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 58 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 with PIT · 651 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
PIT took 53.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.8% — 0.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
651 minutes at five-on-five — 26th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jeff Carter53.0%54.3%45.5%
Brian Dumoulin53.8%53.8%50.1%
Pierre-Olivier Joseph57.4%52.2%51.1%

53.0% together, 54.3% for him apart and 45.5% for Carter apart. Carter was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Carter than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

119 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.