This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Danton Heinen
Pittsburgh Penguins Left Wing
The 20th-best expected-goal share of 393 forwards, at 12:43 a night on the fourth line.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | BOS | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 13:14 |
| 2017-18 | BOS | 77 | 16 | 31 | 47 | +10 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 135 | 11.8 | 15:01 |
| 2018-19 | BOS | 77 | 11 | 23 | 34 | +13 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 114 | 9.7 | 13:58 |
| 2019-20 | BOS/ANA | 67 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 109 | 9.2 | 14:28 |
| 2020-21 | ANA | 43 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 9.2 | 14:46 |
| 2021-22 | PIT | 76 | 18 | 15 | 33 | +6 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 138 | 13.0 | 12:43 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 348 | 62 | 92 | 154 | +15 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 579 | 10.7 | 14:06 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
76 games, 18 goals and 15 assists at 12:43 a night, plus-6, sixteen penalty minutes, 138 shots. Three of the eighteen came on the power play. One hundred and sixteenth overall in 2014 by Boston — the fourth round — six seasons, 348 games, 154 points.
The Finesse Game
57.8 per cent of the expected goals is the 20th-best of the 393 forwards who played forty games and 54.1 per cent of the attempts the 81st percentile. That is the best possession figure of any forward on this roster and it came off the third-smallest forward shift on it.
Twelve minutes and forty-three seconds a night is the 21st percentile and he scored eighteen goals in it. 1.98 even-strength points per 60 is the 62nd percentile at 13.0 per cent shooting.
2.24 takeaways per 60 is the 85th percentile among forwards, on 10.05 miles per 60 at the 85th.
Out of 58.1 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 95th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. The chair is soft and it does not account for a 57.8 per cent share — Sidney Crosby started five points softer and came out three points lower.
His ice went 45-38 against an expectation of 41.82-30.57 — three goals of surplus in front and seven and a half more against than the model asked, which is the one column that argues the other way.
The Physical Game
4.10 hits per 60 is the 53rd percentile and 2.05 blocks the 67th at 6-2 and 187 pounds. 0.50 penalties drawn per 60 is the 18th percentile against 0.50 taken — a dead-level ledger with almost nothing in it.
The Intangibles
10.05 miles per 60 is the 85th percentile against a 22.0 mph top speed at the 26th and 2.9 bursts per 60 at the 19th. Enormous distance, very little of it quick — the same signature Evgeni Malkin and Rickard Rakell carry, on a man nine years younger than the first of them.
He is 27, a fourth-round pick, and has forty-seven points in 2017-18 as his best season. Eighteen goals off 138 shots at twelve minutes a night, on the best possession share of any forward here, is the strongest fourth-line case in this chapter and the reason he is worth more ice than he got.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
57.8% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 52.4% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.4, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
“2.24 takeaways per 60 is the 85th percentile among forwards, on 10.05 miles per 60 at the 85th.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 903 minutes
- Expected goals
- 57.8%
- 96th pct
- Shot attempts
- 54.1%
- 84th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 38 against. Expected: 41.8 and 30.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 33 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 76 games
- Top speed
- 22.0 mph
- 45th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.62 a game
- Distance
- 2.13 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 91.8 mph
- 76th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 903 minutes at five-on-five
- Jeff Carter32%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- PIT took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.8% — 4.3 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 903 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Marino | 57.8% | 57.7% | 49.8% |
| Mike Matheson | 60.6% | 56.3% | 52.0% |
| Jeff Carter | 54.5% | 59.4% | 47.4% |
57.8% together, 57.7% for him apart and 49.8% for Marino apart. Marino was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Marino than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
180 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.