Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

26

Brock McGinn

Anaheim Ducks Left Wing

Traded mid-season into the worst club in hockey, and seven career shorthanded goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CAR21314-14100002512.011:11
2016-17CAR577916-116001749.512:00
2017-18CAR80161430-122221115910.114:30
2018-19CAR82101626+10200101238.114:19
2019-20CAR6871017-417021937.513:12
2020-21CAR378513060115813.814:59
2021-22PIT641210220140029912.115:00
2022-23PIT/ANA7512719-6210239113.213:02
2023-24 so far
Career4847572147-3711627972210.413:43

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 7 assists in 75 games split between Pittsburgh and Anaheim — 19 points at 13:02 a night, minus-6, with 2 shorthanded goals on 91 shots, converting at 13.19 per cent, and only 21 penalty minutes.

44.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 806 minutes, the 17th percentile. His ice went 23-39 against an expectation of 26.81-33.6 — four goals of scoring missing and five more conceded than the chances predicted.

The Finesse Game

91 attempts at a median of 24 feet, 40 per cent from inside 20, converting at 13.19 per cent, which is the highest rate of any regular forward here.

Twelve goals on 91 shots is not a shooting talent so much as a man who only shoots from places worth shooting from. 147 points in 484 games is the career line, and 7 assists in 75 games is the part that keeps him on a fourth line.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 191, and he plays bigger than that on the forecheck without taking penalties — 21 penalty minutes in 75 games, 116 in 484.

The skating is good enough to matter: 22.7 mph at the 72nd percentile and 1.9 bursts a game at the 83rd. He is trusted a man short and seven career shorthanded goals says he is aggressive about it rather than merely present.

The Intangibles

Forty-seventh overall in 2012 to Carolina, and he scored a double-overtime series winner for them in 2019, which is the moment he is remembered for.

He is 29, on his third club in three seasons, arriving mid-season in a trade rather than as a signing anybody sought out. He kills penalties and he does not complain about fourth-line minutes, which is exactly what a rebuilding club needs from a veteran and exactly why he will be available in February.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    29% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 4th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He is trusted a man short and seven career shorthanded goals says he is aggressive about it”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “7 assists in 75 games is the part that keeps him on a fourth line”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 806 minutes

Expected goals
44.4%
17th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.6%
15th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 39 against. Expected: 26.8 and 33.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
41st
Numbers
17th

The report ranks him 24 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 58 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 with PIT · 639 minutes at five-on-five

  • Jeff Carter62%
  • Kasperi Kapanennow STL34%
  • Teddy Bluegernow VAN25%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
ANA took 39.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.4% — 4.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
806 minutes at five-on-five — 40th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jeff Carter44.6%44.2%50.7%
Brian Dumoulin40.0%46.1%52.3%
Kasperi Kapanen39.4%46.3%45.9%

44.6% together, 44.2% for him apart and 50.7% for Carter apart. Carter was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

129 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.