Adam Fantilli

59 points at 21, and a shot chart that still has a step to take.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2023-24	CBJ	49	12	15	27	-21	16	1	0	1	115	10.4	15:43
2024-25	CBJ	82	31	23	54	+4	18	2	1	3	191	16.2	17:29
2025-26	CBJ	82	24	35	59	-13	38	4	0	3	214	11.2	18:54
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	213	67	73	140	-30	72	7	1	7	520	12.9	17:37

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

24 goals and 35 assists in all 82 games — 59 points, minus-13, at 18:54 a night. 214 shots on goal.

The Finesse Game

The skating is the standout and it is genuinely exceptional — a 6-2 centre who is among the faster players in the league in a straight line, and who does not lose the puck while doing it.

The shot is heavy without being precise. 323 unblocked attempts, 24 goals, median distance 26 feet with 36 per cent inside 20. That is fine and it is not what a first-line centre eventually does; the men scoring 30 on this roster shoot from 16 and 12.

35 assists at 21 says the playmaking is arriving on schedule.

The Physical Game

6-2, 205, and he plays a hard game — 38 penalty minutes, willing on the forecheck, and difficult to knock off the puck at speed.

The Intangibles

52.3 per cent of the expected goals, 72nd percentile, with the expected goals 60.1 to 54.8 in his favour across 1,250 minutes — and the actual goals 52-59 against, which is the club-wide pattern here.

The minus-13 is not describing him.

He is 21, the third pick in 2023, and 140 points into a career that is tracking properly. 7 points in his last 10. The question is not whether he becomes a first-line centre; it is whether he learns to shoot from 10 feet closer.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
15:15 a game at five-on-five, 95th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
65% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,250 minutes

Expected goals: 52.3%; 73rd pct
Shot attempts: 51.8%; 73rd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 52 for, 59 against. Expected: 60.1 and 54.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

86th

Numbers

73rd

The two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed: 23.4 mph; 93rd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.39 a game
Distance: 3.13 miles a game
Hardest shot: 88.4 mph; 73rd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 4 assists, 28 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1250 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: CBJ took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.3% — 0.7 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,250 minutes at five-on-five — 86th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Kirill Marchenko	54.0%	49.0%	49.6%
Zach Werenski	56.0%	49.4%	54.4%
Ivan Provorov	53.0%	51.8%	50.2%

54.0% together, 49.0% for him apart and 49.6% for Marchenko apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

323 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.