This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Connor McDavid

A hundred assists in 76 games, and the highest five-on-five chance share of any skater in this edition.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2015-16	EDM	45	16	32	48	-1	18	3	0	5	105	15.2	18:53
2016-17	EDM	82	30	70	100	+27	26	3	1	6	251	11.9	21:08
2017-18	EDM	82	41	67	108	+20	26	5	1	7	274	15.0	21:33
2018-19	EDM	78	41	75	116	+3	20	9	1	9	240	17.1	22:50
2019-20	EDM	64	34	63	97	-6	28	11	0	6	212	16.0	21:52
2020-21	EDM	56	33	72	105	+21	20	9	0	11	200	16.5	22:09
2021-22	EDM	80	44	79	123	+28	45	10	0	9	314	14.0	22:04
2022-23	EDM	82	64	89	153	+22	36	21	4	11	352	18.2	22:23
2023-24	EDM	76	32	100	132	+35	30	7	1	5	263	12.2	21:22
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	645	335	647	982	+149	249	78	8	69	2211	15.2	21:42

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

76 games, 32 goals and 100 assists for 132 points, 7 on the power play, 30 penalty minutes, 21:22 a night and plus-35. He took 63.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,257 minutes, the 100th percentile, and his ice went 90-57 against an expectation of 85.40-49.95.

That chance share is the highest of any skater in this edition, and the 132 points were third in the league behind Nikita Kucherov and Nathan MacKinnon, in six fewer games than either.

The Finesse Game

He is the fastest player in the league with the puck on his stick, which is a different and rarer thing than being the fastest player in the league.

263 shots at a median of 20 feet with 51 per cent from inside 20 is a shooting profile that did not exist for him five years ago; he has added the willingness to take the puck to the net himself. 647 career assists in 645 games is the number that will define him, and the seam pass through two sticks at full speed is the single most dangerous play in hockey.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 194 and does not initiate contact, and 30 penalty minutes in 76 games is the rate of a man who plays away from trouble.

He is knocked off pucks far less often than his size suggests, because he is almost never caught standing still. What he will not do is win a wall battle by force, and against clubs that can put a 6-4 defenceman on him for a full shift it shows.

The Intangibles

First overall in 2015, captain at 19, and 982 points in 645 games. He has carried this organisation for nine seasons and the individual awards understate it.

The chance share is the thing to hold on to. 63.1 per cent means that when he was on the ice, at even strength, the other club barely had the puck. That is not a scoring statistic and it is the best argument for him that exists.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
63.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 53.4% for his club in the minutes he sat: +9.7, 99th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
16:32 a game at five-on-five, 99th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control
“He is the fastest player in the league with the puck on his stick, which is a different and rarer thing than being the fastest player in the league.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“647 career assists in 645 games is the number that will define him, and the seam pass through two sticks at full speed is the single most dangerous play in hockey.”
punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“He is 6-1 and 194 and does not initiate contact, and 30 penalty minutes in 76 games is the rate of a man who plays away from trouble.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“What he will not do is win a wall battle by force, and against clubs that can put a 6-4 defenceman on him for a full shift it shows.”
leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it
“First overall in 2015, captain at 19, and 982 points in 645 games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,257 minutes

Expected goals: 63.1%; 100th pct
Shot attempts: 59.5%; 98th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 90 for, 57 against. Expected: 85.4 and 50.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

100th

Numbers

100th

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 87 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 76 games

Top speed: 24.2 mph; 100th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 6.00 a game
Distance: 3.65 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.0 mph; 52nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1257 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: EDM took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 63.1% — 6.2 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,257 minutes at five-on-five — 87th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Zach Hyman	65.2%	55.9%	55.5%
Evan Bouchard	65.0%	59.1%	58.4%
Mattias Ekholm	65.3%	59.7%	57.5%

65.2% together, 55.9% for him apart and 55.5% for Hyman apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

350 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 34 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 51% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.