Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

23

Carter Verhaeghe

Florida Panthers Center

The 6th-most takeaways and the 12th-most ground covered of the qualified forwards, and the 10th-worst penalty differential.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20TBL529413-981015715.89:22
2020-21FLA43181836+243111310716.817:44
2021-22FLA78243155+244800416714.416:03
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—1735153104+398721833115.414:28

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

24 goals and 31 assists in 78 games — 55 points and a plus-24 at 16:03 a night, the 53rd percentile among forwards — with 48 penalty minutes.

59.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,116 minutes — the 11th-highest of the 393 qualified forwards — and 58.8 per cent of the attempts, the 98th percentile.

The Finesse Game

3.02 takeaways per 60 is the 6th-most of the 393 qualified forwards. That is the number to build the page on: he wins the puck back more often than all but five forwards in the league, and he does it at sixteen minutes a night.

2.73 even-strength points per 60 is the 47th-most of 393 — and only 5 per cent of his points came on the power play, the 25th percentile. Fifty-two of his fifty-five points arrived at five-on-five. On the best club in the league he is the least power-play-dependent forward in the top six by a distance.

8.00 shots per 60 is the 62nd percentile and 24 goals on 167 is 14.4 per cent, the 77th.

2.25 giveaways per 60 is the 86th percentile. He has the puck a great deal in both directions.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 183, which is light.

10.42 miles per 60 is the 12th-most of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, and 11.5 bursts over 20 mph per 60 is the 93rd percentile, against a 22.9 mph top speed at the 77th. He covers more ground than almost every forward in the league and sprints constantly over it.

2.40 hits per 60 is the 26th percentile and 0.77 blocks the 6th. The forechecking is done with the stick and the legs.

1.10 penalties taken per 60 is the 83rd percentile and drawn minus taken is minus-0.43, the 10th percentile of 393. Forty-eight minutes in seventy-eight games. A forward who wins that many pucks and gives up that many power plays is chasing more than the takeaway count suggests.

The Intangibles

Eighty-second overall in 2013, the third round, and 173 NHL games at 26 with 104 points — he did not have an NHL season until he was 24.

With Aleksander Barkov he took 60.6 per cent of the chances over 1,199 attempts and 57.2 without him. Barkov without him took 53.4 over 539. Both apart-samples are small and both favour the winger.

With MacKenzie Weegar 64.9 over 935 attempts and 54.5 without — and Weegar has gone to Calgary, which is the largest single subtraction from this page.

Fifty-five points at five-on-five on a Presidents’ Trophy club, from a man nobody drafted in the first two rounds and nobody played until he was 24. The takeaway rate is the part of it that should travel.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “he wins the puck back more often than all but five forwards in the league, and he does it at sixteen minutes a night”

  • edgesa strength· changes direction at speed; the forechecker commits and he is gone

    “He covers more ground than almost every forward in the league and sprints constantly over it.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “A forward who wins that many pucks and gives up that many power plays is chasing more than the takeaway count suggests.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,116 minutes

Expected goals
59.1%
98th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
58.8%
99th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 60 for, 39 against. Expected: 63.3 and 43.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
98th

The two rank him within 14 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 78 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
85th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
3.09 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.79 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.2 mph
78th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1116 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
FLA took 56.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 59.1% — 2.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,116 minutes at five-on-five — 79th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Aleksander Barkov60.6%57.2%53.4%
MacKenzie Weegar64.9%54.5%54.7%
Aaron Ekblad64.2%56.6%56.7%

60.6% together, 57.2% for him apart and 53.4% for Barkov apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

230 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.