Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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95

Andre Burakovsky

Chicago Blackhawks Left Wing

37 points at 30, and a winger acquired because Chicago had to buy somebody who can pass.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15WSH5391322+12102026513.912:55
2015-16WSH79172138+41200112613.513:01
2016-17WSH64122335+131420111110.813:16
2017-18WSH56121325+3272058414.313:50
2018-19WSH76121325+21410410012.011:08
2019-20COL58202545+112220610319.415:12
2020-21COL53192544+41040310218.615:06
2021-22COL80223961+121840514914.816:16
2022-23SEA49132639-91440310512.416:33
2023-24SEA497916-1514501927.614:34
2024-25SEA79102737-3120011158.714:25
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—696153234387+3416726032115213.314:07

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 27 assists in 79 games for 37 points, minus-3, on 14:25 a night with Seattle.

115 shots and 10 goals at 8.7 per cent, which is well below his career rate. 79 games is his healthiest season in four years and 37 points is a fair return for the ice time.

The Finesse Game

Genuine skill and a long history of it being intermittent. He carries the puck into the zone with speed, makes a play at the blue line rather than dumping it, and the hands work in traffic.

27 assists in 79 games is the useful half. The shot has always been better than the conversion rate suggests and he does not shoot enough — 115 attempts in a full season is low for a top-nine winger.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 203, and he does not use it at all. He avoids the wall, does not forecheck, and gives up possession rather than absorbing contact.

12 penalty minutes over 79 games. He is nowhere near anything. The durability had been the concern before last season and it held up.

The Intangibles

Two Cups, four organisations, and a career of one very good season followed by two quiet ones.

Chicago bought him because a club that finished last in the league in creating chances needs somebody who can make a play. That is the right idea, and at 30 with this record the honest projection is 40 points and no defence.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.15 penalty minutes a game over 79, 10th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He carries the puck into the zone with speed, makes a play at the blue line rather than dumping it, and the hands work in traffic.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He avoids the wall, does not forecheck, and gives up possession rather than absorbing contact.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He avoids the wall, does not forecheck, and gives up possession rather than absorbing contact.”

  • nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “12 penalty minutes over 79 games. He is nowhere near anything.”

  • defensively-responsiblehe lacks it· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “the honest projection is 40 points and no defence”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 959 minutes

Expected goals
45.9%
20th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.6%
30th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 40 against. Expected: 34.5 and 40.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
20th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 79 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
73rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.51 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.46 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.4 mph
93rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with SEA · 959 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SEA took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.9% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 959 minutes at five-on-five — 55th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jared McCann51.4%40.8%45.6%
Brandon Montour42.7%48.0%50.1%
Chandler Stephenson38.2%50.9%43.3%

51.4% together, 40.8% for him apart and 45.6% for McCann apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

166 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 27% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.