Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

21

Kyle Palmieri

New York Islanders Center

24 goals at 34 on 14.2 per cent shooting, with 42 per cent of his attempts taken from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11ANA10101-100001010.08:41
2011-12ANA18437+360003411.811:31
2012-13ANA42101121+292059210.912:20
2013-14ANA71141731+9380041479.511:57
2014-15ANA57141529-23750411212.514:06
2015-16NJD82302757+339110422213.517:48
2016-17NJD80262753+24681319213.517:21
2017-18NJD62242044-130110518113.317:19
2018-19NJD74272350-942110222412.018:09
2019-20NJD65252045-441110315516.117:07
2020-21NJD/NYI51101121-5202121158.716:35
2021-22NYI691518330572061569.615:37
2022-23NYI55161733+132430312213.117:06
2023-24NYI82302454-1626100821813.817:13
2024-25NYI82242448-172050216914.218:31
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—900270257527-2343581251214912.616:16

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 24 goals and 24 assists for 48 points at 18:31 a night, on 169 shots at 14.2 per cent. 20 penalty minutes. Minus-17 — the worst figure on the club.

A 48.8 per cent chance share, with on-ice goals of 47-48 against an expected 46.77-49.58. His line scored twelve fewer than the chances said and conceded seventeen fewer, so it came out ahead at five-on-five and he finished minus-17. The gap is shorthanded time and empty nets, and it describes his usage rather than his play.

The Finesse Game

42 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 24, and at 34 that has become the whole approach: get to the space between the circles and shoot the moment it opens.

The release is the skill and it has not thinned — 14.2 per cent on 169 attempts is a good year at any age. He does not beat a defenceman one-on-one any more and he does not need to, because he arrives at the right place before the puck does.

The Physical Game

192 pounds and honest in traffic without being difficult to move. He goes to the net front and gets pushed out of it by bigger defencemen.

20 penalty minutes in a full season at eighteen minutes a night is a low number and it fits a player whose game has never depended on the physical exchange.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, fifteen NHL seasons, and a 30-goal year on his record. He has scored twenty or more in nine different seasons for three different clubs.

He is 34 and produced 48 points on a club that missed the playoffs, and the shooting percentage is the risk: 14.2 per cent at 34 is a year that is very difficult to repeat.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “192 pounds and honest in traffic without being difficult to move.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He goes to the net front and gets pushed out of it by bigger defencemen.”

  • nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “20 penalty minutes in a full season at eighteen minutes a night is a low number and it fits a player whose game has never depended on the physical exchange.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,117 minutes

Expected goals
48.5%
38th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.4%
28th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 48 against. Expected: 46.8 and 49.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
30th
Numbers
38th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
66th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.98 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.96 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.5 mph
97th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1117 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYI took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.5% — 1.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,117 minutes at five-on-five — 77th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brock Nelson48.9%47.9%53.9%
Maxim Tsyplakov53.3%45.1%52.4%
Noah Dobson53.2%46.1%54.6%

48.9% together, 47.9% for him apart and 53.9% for Nelson apart. Nelson was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

280 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 25 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.