Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Josh Manson

Photo by Jessica, CC BY-SA 2.0

Josh Manson

Colorado Avalanche Defense #42

A heavy defensive defenceman who was plus-42 and took 91 penalty minutes doing it.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15ANA28033+131000260.018:26
2015-16ANA7151015+1174001885.718:47
2016-17ANA8251217+1482011885.718:38
2017-18ANA8073037+34620021176.020:21
2018-19ANA7431316-862000963.122:18
2019-20ANA50189-1037000641.620:38
2020-21ANA23167-330001195.317:59
2021-22ANA/COL6761016-1165000926.518:59
2022-23COL272810+1342002414.917:41
2023-24COL7681725+11870101236.517:47
2024-25COL4811415-628000651.518:02
2025-26COL7952631+42910021283.917:47
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—70544157201+886910299474.719:07

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 31 points in 79 games, plus-42 — 1 of 4 Colorado men above plus-40 — on nearly 18 minutes a night, with 91 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

Modest and entirely secondary. 44 goals in 705 career games. He makes the simple first pass and does not attempt anything that could go wrong behind him. 31 points is a career-best and mostly a product of who he plays behind.

He does not carry the puck and does not join the rush.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 218, and this is the file. He hits hard and often, clears the front of his net, and is one of the more genuinely feared defencemen to play against in the corners. The 91 penalty minutes are the cost of playing that way and are mostly the useful kind.

He blocks shots and has paid for it — injuries have cost him significant time across his career.

The Intangibles

A sixth-round pick, the son of a former NHL player, and a defenceman who has made an entire career out of one skill applied properly.

He is 34. The style does not age gracefully, and the plus-42 will be remembered longer than the season in which the body stops allowing it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,226 minutes

Expected goals
56.9%
95th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
57.2%
95th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 72 for, 43 against. Expected: 59.5 and 45.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
73rd
Numbers
95th

The numbers rank him 22 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 79 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
65th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.76 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.56 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.4 mph
81st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 3 assists, 23 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1226 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
COL took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.9% — level with the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,226 minutes at five-on-five — 84th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brent Burns56.3%58.2%53.0%
Brock Nelson59.0%55.7%57.4%
Valeri Nichushkin62.1%54.5%54.9%

56.3% together, 58.2% for him apart and 53.0% for Burns apart. Burns was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Burns than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

177 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 50 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.