This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Anthony Mantha
Calgary Flames Right Wing
Six foot five and 240 pounds, twenty-three goals on 113 shots — the second-best conversion in this edition.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | DET | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11.1 | 11:42 |
| 2016-17 | DET | 60 | 17 | 19 | 36 | +10 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 133 | 12.8 | 15:54 |
| 2017-18 | DET | 80 | 24 | 24 | 48 | -1 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 190 | 12.6 | 17:18 |
| 2018-19 | DET | 67 | 25 | 23 | 48 | -8 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 12.6 | 17:50 |
| 2019-20 | DET | 43 | 16 | 22 | 38 | -7 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 137 | 11.7 | 18:54 |
| 2020-21 | DET/WSH | 56 | 15 | 14 | 29 | -14 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 10.9 | 18:08 |
| 2021-22 | WSH | 37 | 9 | 14 | 23 | +4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 11.0 | 15:10 |
| 2022-23 | WSH | 67 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -8 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 119 | 9.2 | 14:13 |
| 2023-24 | WSH/VGK | 74 | 23 | 21 | 44 | +11 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 20.3 | 14:13 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 494 | 142 | 154 | 296 | -19 | 266 | 32 | 0 | 12 | 1128 | 12.6 | 16:17 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
23 goals and 21 assists in 74 games for Detroit and Vegas — 44 points at 14:13 a night, plus-11, with 3 power-play goals on 113 shots, converting at 20.35 per cent — the second-highest rate of any player in this edition with a hundred attempts — and 25 penalty minutes.
54.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 936 minutes, the 85th percentile. His ice went 50-36 against an expectation of 40.00-33.40 — ten goals of finishing above expectation, and three conceded above it at the other end.
The Finesse Game
113 attempts at a median of 21 feet, with 49 per cent from inside 20 and 23 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 20.35 per cent against a career 12.59 across 1,128 shots.
Twenty-three goals on a hundred and thirteen attempts is not going to happen again, and the shot underneath it is genuinely heavy — a quick release from the paint at 6-5, which is a hard thing to defend when he decides to use it.
21 assists. He is a finisher and the passing is what happens when the shot is covered.
The Physical Game
6-5 and 240, and he cannot be moved off the front of the net when he chooses to stand there. He is the largest forward on this roster.
25 penalty minutes in 74 games and 266 in 494 for his career. He does not agitate and he does not retaliate, and the criticism that has followed him for a decade is that a man this size ought to be harder to play against than he is.
The Intangibles
Twentieth overall in 2013 by Detroit, and 494 games and 296 points at 30 across four clubs.
He was signed here in the summer. A 6-5 winger who converts at twenty per cent is exactly what a club with the 17th power play should buy, and the honest read is that the rate will halve and the frame in front of the net will still be worth the money.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“**Twenty-three goals on a hundred and thirteen attempts is not going to happen again**, and the shot underneath it is genuinely heavy — a quick release from the paint at 6-5, which is a hard thing to defend when he decides to use it.”
“**6-5 and 240, and he cannot be moved off the front of the net** when he chooses to stand there. He is the largest forward on this roster.”
“21 assists. **He is a finisher and the passing is what happens when the shot is covered.**”
“He does not agitate and he does not retaliate, and the criticism that has followed him for a decade is that a man this size ought to be harder to play against than he is.”
“He does not agitate and he does not retaliate, and the criticism that has followed him for a decade is that a man this size ought to be harder to play against than he is.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 936 minutes
- Expected goals
- 54.5%
- 85th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.5%
- 68th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 36 against. Expected: 40.0 and 33.4.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 38 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 74 games
- Top speed
- 22.7 mph
- 77th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.85 a game
- Distance
- 2.29 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 96.1 mph
- 95th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with WSH · 700 minutes at five-on-five
- Dylan Strome12%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- VGK took 51.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.5% — 3.3 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 936 minutes at five-on-five — 51st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 52.5% | 56.3% | 49.3% |
| Connor McMichael | 53.3% | 55.4% | 43.3% |
| Rasmus Sandin | 57.3% | 53.3% | 43.8% |
52.5% together, 56.3% for him apart and 49.3% for Protas apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Protas behind.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
160 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.