Photo by Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Anthony Duclair

The 3rd percentile in expected goals, and 165 career goals.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2014-15	NYR	18	1	6	7	+4	4	0	0	0	18	5.6	12:09
2015-16	ARI	81	20	24	44	+12	49	8	0	2	105	19.1	14:23
2016-17	ARI	58	5	10	15	-7	14	0	0	1	76	6.6	13:18
2017-18	ARI/CHI	56	11	12	23	-5	16	3	0	2	97	11.3	13:17
2018-19	CBJ/OTT	74	19	14	33	-2	14	7	0	3	132	14.4	12:42
2019-20	OTT	66	23	17	40	-5	18	5	2	2	184	12.5	16:16
2020-21	FLA	43	10	22	32	+27	18	1	0	1	104	9.6	15:41
2021-22	FLA	74	31	27	58	+19	30	9	0	5	167	18.6	15:00
2022-23	FLA	20	2	7	9	+4	2	0	0	0	43	4.7	14:51
2023-24	SJS/TBL	73	24	18	42	-8	34	5	0	1	129	18.6	15:46
2024-25	NYI	44	7	4	11	-15	10	3	0	0	60	11.7	15:03
2025-26	NYI	62	12	15	27	0	12	4	0	2	74	16.2	13:12
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	669	165	176	341	+24	221	45	2	19	1189	13.9	14:23

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 15 assists in 62 games — 27 points, even in plus-minus, at 13:12 a night with 12 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

The speed has always been the trade and the finishing comes and goes. 109 unblocked attempts, 12 goals, median 29 feet with 33 per cent from inside 20.

165 goals in 669 career games across 8 organisations, including a 31-goal season. He can score in bursts and has never been able to do it for 2 years running.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 198, and he avoids the interior. 12 penalty minutes in 62 games.

There is no forechecking game and no wall play; the whole thing is straight-line speed into space.

The Intangibles

41.6 per cent of the expected goals — 3rd percentile — and 43.7 per cent of the shot attempts, sixth. Across 727 minutes the chances ran 26.2 to 36.8 against.

Those are among the worst figures in this edition, on a club that was 48.4 per cent as a team. He was not merely carried; the ice tilted whenever he was on it.

He is 30 and on his ninth organisation, which is its own kind of scouting report. 5 points in his last 10.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 727 minutes

Expected goals: 41.6%; 4th pct
Shot attempts: 43.7%; 6th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 24 against. Expected: 26.2 and 36.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

8th

Numbers

4th

Blind

15th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 11 points from the numbers; this one lands 4. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 62 games

Top speed: 22.7 mph; 73rd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.08 a game
Distance: 1.95 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.4 mph; 85th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 4 assists, 13 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 727 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: NYI took 48.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.6% — 6.8 below the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 727 minutes at five-on-five — 32nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Mathew Barzal	42.8%	40.6%	54.2%
Matthew Schaefer	41.2%	41.8%	52.8%
Ryan Pulock	38.4%	43.3%	49.0%

42.8% together, 40.6% for him apart and 54.2% for Barzal apart. Barzal was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

109 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.