This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Anthony Duclair

7 goals in 44 games in the first year of a four-year contract, at 15:03 a night.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2014-15	NYR	18	1	6	7	+4	4	0	0	0	18	5.6	12:09
2015-16	ARI	81	20	24	44	+12	49	8	0	2	105	19.1	14:23
2016-17	ARI	58	5	10	15	-7	14	0	0	1	76	6.6	13:18
2017-18	ARI/CHI	56	11	12	23	-5	16	3	0	2	97	11.3	13:17
2018-19	CBJ/OTT	74	19	14	33	-2	14	7	0	3	132	14.4	12:42
2019-20	OTT	66	23	17	40	-5	18	5	2	2	184	12.5	16:16
2020-21	FLA	43	10	22	32	+27	18	1	0	1	104	9.6	15:41
2021-22	FLA	74	31	27	58	+19	30	9	0	5	167	18.6	15:00
2022-23	FLA	20	2	7	9	+4	2	0	0	0	43	4.7	14:51
2023-24	SJS/TBL	73	24	18	42	-8	34	5	0	1	129	18.6	15:46
2024-25	NYI	44	7	4	11	-15	10	3	0	0	60	11.7	15:03
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	607	153	161	314	+24	209	41	2	17	1115	13.7	14:31

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

44 games, 7 goals and 4 assists for 11 points at 15:03 a night, on 60 shots at 11.67 per cent. 10 penalty minutes. Minus-15.

A 47 per cent chance share with on-ice goals of 17-27 against an expected 23.5-26.6 — seven goals short at one end and four fewer than expected at the other. This was the first season of a four-year contract signed in July 2024, and eleven points is not a return on any part of it.

The Finesse Game

The skating is the asset and it remains genuinely elite — he is among the faster wingers in the league in a straight line and he beats defencemen wide from a standing start.

40 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 26 and 11.67 per cent on 60 attempts is fine. The problem is volume: 60 shots in 44 games from a player whose entire value is getting to dangerous ice with speed is a man not getting there.

The Physical Game

198 pounds and he avoids contact rather than absorbing it. He does not win a wall battle and he does not go to the net front, and 10 penalty minutes in 44 games reflects a winger who is rarely in the exchanges where penalties happen.

Everything depends on having space, and a playoff series does not provide any.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick, eight organisations, a 31-goal season, and a reputation for arriving somewhere new and scoring for one year.

He is 30 with three years left on the deal. The speed is the one thing that has never gone, and it is also the one attribute that historically disappears first.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control
“he is among the faster wingers in the league in a straight line and he beats defencemen wide from a standing start.”
hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“198 pounds and he avoids contact rather than absorbing it.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not win a wall battle”
net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“he does not go to the net front”
nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“10 penalty minutes in 44 games reflects a winger who is rarely in the exchanges where penalties happen.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 575 minutes

Expected goals: 47%; 26th pct
Shot attempts: 48.9%; 42nd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 17 for, 27 against. Expected: 23.5 and 26.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

3rd

Numbers

26th

The numbers rank him 23 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 44 games

Top speed: 23.2 mph; 91st pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.07 a game
Distance: 2.31 miles a game
Hardest shot: 86.9 mph; 58th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 575 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: NYI took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.0% — 2.9 below the club he did it on.
The role: 575 minutes at five-on-five — 21st percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Bo Horvat	48.1%	45.6%	52.8%
Alexander Romanov	45.6%	47.9%	50.1%
Kyle Palmieri	44.9%	48.1%	49.4%

48.1% together, 45.6% for him apart and 52.8% for Horvat apart. Horvat was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

85 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.