Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Alexander Holtz

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Alexander Holtz

Vegas Golden Knights Right Wing #10

The seventh pick in 2020, 28 games, and 9 points.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22NJD9022-52000120.012:16
2022-23NJD19314-682002114.310:16
2023-24NJD82161228-151410312213.111:38
2024-25VGK534812-310100695.811:35
2025-26VGK28369-1100003010.011:29
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—191262955-304440325410.211:29

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 6 assists in 28 games — 9 points, minus-1, at 11:29 a night with 10 penalty minutes.

55 points in 191 career games.

The Finesse Game

The shot is genuinely excellent and always was — it is the reason he went 7th overall and it is the only thing that has kept him in the league.

53 unblocked attempts, 3 goals, median 23 feet with 45 per cent from inside 20. That is good ice and a very small sample.

55 points in 191 career games is the record of a first-round pick who has not established himself anywhere.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 198, and he does not engage. 10 penalty minutes in 28 games.

The skating is ordinary, the forechecking is absent, and the defensive reads have been the criticism at every stop. 3 organisations have now decided the shot is not enough on its own.

The Intangibles

50.8 per cent of the expected goals, 61st percentile, against only 44.8 per cent of the shot attempts, 11th percentile, across 319 minutes — a 6-point gap in a small sample, and on this roster the weakest attempt share of anybody.

6 points in his last 10, 2 of them goals.

He is 24, and there is still a real shot in there. On a club this good he will be the thirteenth forward on most nights, which is not how a scorer finds his game.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 319 minutes

Expected goals
50.8%
62nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.7%
17th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 15 against. Expected: 11.8 and 11.4.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
15th
Numbers
62nd

The numbers rank him 47 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 28 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
24th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.93 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.95 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.0 mph
77th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 19 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

6

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 4 assists, 14 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 309 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
VGK took 53.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.8% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
319 minutes at five-on-five — 6th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ben Hutton55.8%48.5%52.3%
Noah Hanifin45.7%52.7%55.5%
Jeremy Lauzon45.4%53.3%53.5%

55.8% together, 48.5% for him apart and 52.3% for Hutton apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

53 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.