Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

19

Adam Henrique

Edmonton Oilers Center

On-ice goals of 29-31 against an expected 33-38, which is seven goals of goaltending and no finishing surplus at all.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11NJD1000+1000030.013:21
2011-12NJD74163551+8704313012.318:10
2012-13NJD4211516-3163227814.118:19
2013-14NJD77251843+32073413718.318:03
2014-15NJD75162743-63450312712.617:45
2015-16NJD80302050+102372814920.119:50
2016-17NJD82202040-203862214214.118:10
2017-18NJD/ANA81242650+112061815115.917:47
2018-19ANA82182442-52480312214.816:27
2019-20ANA71261743-22250116915.416:52
2020-21ANA4512921-8111027715.616:02
2021-22ANA58192342-21460014113.517:25
2022-23ANA62221638-82240113216.718:11
2023-24ANA/EDM82242751+93752414017.116:51
2024-25EDM81121527+21621310411.514:39
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—993275282557-10304651744180215.317:28

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 15 assists in 81 games for 27 points, plus-2, on 14:39 a night.

46.6 per cent at five-on-five, the 23rd percentile — the worst share among the club’s forwards. His on-ice goals were 29-31 against an expected 33.1-38.0, which is four goals of scoring that did not arrive at one end and seven of goaltending in his favour at the other. It is the largest such surplus in this edition and it belongs to a fourth-line centre.

The Finesse Game

Modest and well-directed. 104 shots and 12 goals at 11.5 per cent, and 43 per cent of the attempts from inside 20 feet — he goes to the net and scores from there or not at all.

15 assists in 81 games is thin. There is no creation here at 35 and there does not need to be in the role.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 195, and honest rather than heavy. He is willing on the wall, takes a defensive-zone draw, and blocks shots.

16 penalty minutes over 81 games is exceptional discipline. Fifteen seasons and the durability has been remarkable.

The Intangibles

Fifteen seasons, three organisations, a long career as a genuinely useful second-line centre, and a late one as a fourth-line one on a contender.

At 35 the projection is 25 points and reliable defensive work. There is no finishing surplus to discount, and the seven goals of goaltending should be treated as what they are — a fourth line getting extremely fortunate for one season — and the 31st-percentile chance share is the truer number.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He is willing on the wall”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “takes a defensive-zone draw”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He is willing on the wall, takes a defensive-zone draw, and blocks shots.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6 feet and 195, and honest rather than heavy.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “15 assists in 81 games is thin. There is no creation here at 35”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “At 35 the projection is 25 points and reliable defensive work.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 934 minutes

Expected goals
46.6%
24th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.6%
22nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 31 against. Expected: 33.1 and 38.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
24th

The report ranks him 25 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
69th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.95 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.41 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.6 mph
57th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 934 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
EDM took 54.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.6% — 7.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 934 minutes at five-on-five — 51st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Darnell Nurse48.3%45.3%55.6%
Connor Brown45.1%47.5%54.1%
Brett Kulak46.7%46.5%55.8%

48.3% together, 45.3% for him apart and 55.6% for Nurse apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Nurse and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

145 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.