Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

13

Mattias Janmark

Edmonton Oilers Center

18 points, 68 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet, and a penalty killer on the league's best unit.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DAL73151429+121601310813.914:10
2017-18DAL81191534-132442413614.016:56
2018-19DAL8161925-4240001055.715:13
2019-20DAL6261521-512110867.014:37
2020-21CHI/VGK56111324-12104109511.617:05
2021-22VGK6791625+3210218910.114:21
2022-23EDM66101525+9300317912.714:40
2023-24EDM714812046000676.011:54
2024-25EDM8021618-622000513.913:18
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—63782131213-16205910981610.114:40

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 16 assists in 80 games for 18 points, minus-6, on 13:18 a night.

47.2 per cent at five-on-five, the 27th percentile. 68 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 15 — and 2 goals from 51 attempts, which is 3.9 per cent and the second-worst conversion rate in this edition.

The Finesse Game

There is essentially no finishing. 2 goals in 80 games from a man who only shoots from close range is a genuine inability rather than a bad season, and it has been true for most of his career.

16 assists is what he provides. The value is entirely in the speed and the defensive reading, and none of it appears in a box score.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 205, and he plays a fast, honest, disciplined game. He forechecks at speed, blocks shots, and is trusted in every defensive situation.

22 penalty minutes over 80 games. The durability has been good and the legs are the whole asset.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, five organisations, and a decade of being the forward a contender wants on its penalty kill.

Edmonton had the best penalty kill in the league and he is a substantial part of the reason. At 32 the projection is unchanged and the 2 goals are not a concern, because nobody is paying for them.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    74.0% of his attempts in the slot, 99th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks at speed, blocks shots, and is trusted in every defensive situation.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “blocks shots”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “is trusted in every defensive situation”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “a decade of being the forward a contender wants on its penalty kill.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 875 minutes

Expected goals
47.2%
28th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47%
25th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 32 against. Expected: 29.3 and 32.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
28th

The report ranks him 21 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
24.4 mph
99th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.04 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.01 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.7 mph
64th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 875 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
EDM took 54.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.2% — 7.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 875 minutes at five-on-five — 42nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Connor Brown49.6%44.7%51.3%
Brett Kulak46.3%48.0%56.1%
Adam Henrique47.7%46.9%46.0%

49.6% together, 44.7% for him apart and 51.3% for Brown apart. He was worse away from Brown, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Brown did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

77 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 68% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.