Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

William Nylander

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

William Nylander

Toronto Maple Leafs Right Wing #88

750 games, 691 points, and 30 goals in 65.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16TOR226713+141014314.016:20
2016-17TOR81223961-33290220510.716:01
2017-18TOR82204161+201050818410.916:41
2018-19TOR5472027-4161001305.415:31
2019-20TOR68312859-21290719715.718:13
2020-21TOR51172542+101640213312.816:36
2021-22TOR81344680-916130725613.318:16
2022-23TOR82404787+102890529313.718:33
2023-24TOR82405898+124113731612.719:55
2024-25TOR82453984+1026120825317.819:31
2025-26TOR65304979-141670415619.219:25
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—750292399691+2020081351216613.517:56

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

30 goals and 49 assists in 65 games — 79 points, minus-14, at 19:25 a night with 7 power-play goals and only 16 penalty minutes. 17 games missed.

His 750th career game and his 691st point.

The Finesse Game

The most naturally gifted player on the roster. He carries the puck at speed better than anybody in the lineup and the hands in tight are exceptional.

234 unblocked attempts, 31 goals, median 30 feet with only 34 per cent from inside 20 and 29 per cent from beyond 40. He scores from range because the release is quick and because he does not much like the traffic.

49 assists in 65 games is a genuinely excellent rate.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 200, and among the least physically engaged forwards in the league. 16 penalty minutes in 65 games.

He does not forecheck, does not finish checks, and does not go to the front of the net. This has been the argument about him for a decade and it has never once been settled by anything except more points.

The Intangibles

47.9 per cent of the expected goals, 35th percentile, across 976 minutes, with the goals 59 for and 60 against.

That is the worst on-ice goal margin of any Toronto forward and it sits under a 79-point season.

14 points in his last 10, 6 of them goals. He is 30, and the honest read is that he is a point-a-game winger on a club that concedes when he is out there, and no coach has yet worked out how to have the first without the second.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    29.1% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 92nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    15:01 a game at five-on-five, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 976 minutes

Expected goals
47.9%
36th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.9%
35th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 60 against. Expected: 43.4 and 47.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
73rd
Numbers
36th

The report ranks him 37 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 65 games

Top speed
23.5 mph
94th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.72 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.02 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.6 mph
91st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

14

points in his last 10 games — 6 goals, 8 assists, 35 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 976 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
TOR took 46.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.9% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 976 minutes at five-on-five — 57th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
John Tavares50.0%44.0%46.6%
Morgan Rielly49.2%47.1%48.0%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson49.4%47.0%47.4%

50.0% together, 44.0% for him apart and 46.6% for Tavares apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

234 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 31 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.