Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Will Smith

Photo by Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0

Will Smith

San Jose Sharks Center #2

59 points at 21, and a median shot from 29 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25SJS74182745-151850112714.215:51
2025-26SJS69243559+11680516614.518:11
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—1434262104-1434130629314.316:59

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

24 goals and 35 assists in 69 games — 59 points, plus-1, at 18:11 a night with 8 power-play goals. 104 points in 143 career games.

He turned 21 in March.

The Finesse Game

The hands are the draw and they are extraordinary — he manipulates defenders in tight and makes passes through seams that most players do not see, which is what a 4th overall pick out of the US programme is supposed to look like.

240 unblocked attempts, 24 goals, median 29 feet with only 30 per cent from inside 20. Like Celebrini he is scoring from range, and like Celebrini that is a release rather than a location.

35 assists in 69 games is the real number.

The Physical Game

6 foot even and 180 pounds, and this is the whole reservation. 16 penalty minutes.

He does not go to the interior, does not win a wall battle, and is moved off pucks by grown defencemen. 2 summers of weight is the standard answer and he has had one.

The Intangibles

49.7 per cent of the expected goals, 52nd percentile, and 48.6 per cent of the shot attempts, 42nd, across 995 minutes, with the goals 50-37 in his favour.

Those are respectable figures for a 21-year-old on a club that was outshot all year.

12 points in his last 10. He is 21, and the pairing with Celebrini gives San Jose 2 centres born within 15 months of each other who have already produced 174 points between them in a single season.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 995 minutes

Expected goals
49.7%
53rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.6%
42nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 37 against. Expected: 44.4 and 44.9.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
86th
Numbers
53rd
Blind
55th

The report ranks him 33 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 2 points from the numbers; this one lands 33. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 69 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
43rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.38 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.86 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.3 mph
84th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

12

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 9 assists, 26 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 980 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
SJS took 47.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.7% — 2.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 995 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Macklin Celebrini50.9%40.1%51.8%
Dmitry Orlov51.0%48.7%49.3%
John Klingberg47.7%50.8%48.2%

50.9% together, 40.1% for him apart and 51.8% for Celebrini apart. He was worse away from Celebrini, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Celebrini did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

240 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.