Macklin Celebrini

115 points at 20, and 46 goals from a median of 33 feet.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2024-25	SJS	70	25	38	63	-31	28	8	0	4	236	10.6	19:47
2025-26	SJS	82	45	70	115	+8	44	8	0	5	287	15.7	21:19
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	152	70	108	178	-23	72	16	0	9	523	13.4	20:37

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

45 goals and 70 assists in all 82 games — 115 points, plus-8, at 21:19 a night with 8 power-play goals and 44 penalty minutes.

He turned 20 in June. 178 points in 152 career games.

The Finesse Game

The best young player in the sport and it is no longer an argument.

The shot chart is the surprising part. 408 unblocked attempts, a median of 33 feet, and only 23 per cent of them from inside 20 — and 46 goals came out of it.

Almost nobody scores 45 goals from that far out. It works because the release is genuinely elite: he changes the angle late and the puck leaves before a goaltender has finished setting. It is also the profile that gets harder in a playoff series, where the outside is exactly what a checking team gives you.

70 assists says the rest of it.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 190, and he competes far harder than a franchise centre needs to. 44 penalty minutes.

The skating is excellent in every direction and he protects the puck through contact at a weight that should not allow it.

The Intangibles

51.2 per cent of the expected goals, 65th percentile, and here is the thing worth sitting with: he was on the ice for 46 goals for and 67 against.

The chances underneath were 60.9 to 58.0 — essentially level. He scored 115 points while his club shot 12 goals under its expectation in front of him and its goaltenders let in 8 more than they should have behind him.

15 points in his last 10, 8 of them goals. He is 20, and San Jose has him for a decade.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range
8 of 100 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 8.0%, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it
durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
51.2% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 45.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.1, 94th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
16:29 a game at five-on-five, 99th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,351 minutes

Expected goals: 51.2%; 65th pct
Shot attempts: 48.8%; 44th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 73 for, 56 against. Expected: 60.9 and 58.0.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

99th

Numbers

65th

The report ranks him 34 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 88 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed: 22.3 mph; 54th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.27 a game
Distance: 3.58 miles a game
Hardest shot: 97.9 mph; 99th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 8 goals, 7 assists, 35 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1335 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: SJS took 47.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.2% — 3.8 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,351 minutes at five-on-five — 90th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Will Smith	50.9%	51.8%	40.1%
Dmitry Orlov	53.5%	49.3%	46.9%
John Klingberg	50.8%	51.4%	45.4%

50.9% together, 51.8% for him apart and 40.1% for Smith apart. Smith was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Smith than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

408 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 46 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 23% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.