Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Dmitry Orlov

Photo by Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0

Dmitry Orlov

San Jose Sharks Defense #9

949 games, 34 assists, and minus 28.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12WSH6031619+118001515.916:52
2012-13WSH5011+5000010.014:57
2013-14WSH543811-119000595.119:36
2015-16WSH8282129+826003908.916:02
2016-17WSH8262733+30511001254.819:32
2017-18WSH82102131+10220021258.023:08
2018-19WSH8232629+3330001013.021:38
2019-20WSH6942327+5361021053.822:10
2020-21WSH5181422+1620002839.619:49
2021-22WSH76122335+25442041279.420:58
2022-23WSH/BOS6672936+12221021245.722:33
2023-24CAR8262026+4360111294.717:19
2024-25CAR7662228+16240021175.120:00
2025-26SJS8233437-2848100913.321:12
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—94979285364+106399611913285.920:03

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 34 assists in all 82 games — 37 points, minus-28, at 21:12 a night with 48 penalty minutes. His 949th career game.

He turned 35 in July.

The Finesse Game

Still one of the better first passes on any blue line. 147 unblocked attempts from a median of 49 feet, 3 goals — the shot has gone, and 79 goals in 949 games says it was never the point.

34 assists at 35 on a last-place club is a genuinely strong number and the second-highest total of his career.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 215 pounds, which is short and thick, and he plays heavier than the height. 48 penalty minutes.

He is difficult to knock over, clears his crease better than most defencemen his size, and the skating is still good enough to escape a forecheck at 35.

The Intangibles

49.9 per cent of the expected goals, 54th percentile, and 50.7 per cent of the shot attempts, 65th — the best figures on the blue line, across the heaviest workload on it, with the chances 60.0 to 60.4 in his favour and the goals 53-72.

The minus-28 is therefore one of the most misleading numbers in this edition, and where it comes from is not mysterious: San Jose’s goaltenders stopped .883, .896 and .890.

7 points in his last 10, none of them goals. He is 35, won a Cup in Washington, and is the only defenceman on this roster whose underlying work is above water. He will be somebody’s deadline acquisition.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,442 minutes

Expected goals
49.9%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.7%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 53 for, 72 against. Expected: 60.0 and 60.4.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
61st
Numbers
54th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
21.3 mph
35th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.20 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.91 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.3 mph
61st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

7

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 7 assists, 18 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1442 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
SJS took 47.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.9% — 2.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,442 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Macklin Celebrini53.5%46.9%49.3%
John Klingberg49.9%49.9%45.0%
Will Smith51.0%49.3%48.7%

53.5% together, 46.9% for him apart and 49.3% for Celebrini apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

147 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 71% from beyond forty.