This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Peyton Krebs
Buffalo Sabres Center
Sixty-seven penalty minutes, four goals, and fifty goals for on his ice against thirty-seven expected.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | VGK | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 11:26 |
| 2021-22 | VGK/BUF | 57 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -26 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 12.5 | 14:35 |
| 2022-23 | BUF | 74 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -8 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 11.5 | 13:50 |
| 2023-24 | BUF | 80 | 4 | 13 | 17 | +2 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 74 | 5.4 | 12:30 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 215 | 20 | 46 | 66 | -31 | 139 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 209 | 9.6 | 13:30 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
4 goals and 13 assists in 80 games — 17 points at 12:30 a night, plus-2, with 2 game-winners on 74 shots at 5.41 per cent, and 67 penalty minutes.
47.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 917 minutes, the 33rd percentile. His ice went 31-30 against an expectation of 34.34-38.41 — thirteen goals scored above expectation and seven conceded above it, which is a very loud ledger for a fourth-line centre and is mostly noise.
The Finesse Game
74 attempts at a median of 29 feet, with 29 per cent from inside 20 and 23 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 5.41 per cent. Twenty goals in 215 career games; there is no finishing here at all.
13 assists. He carries the puck out of his own end rather than chipping it, and the skating is why he holds a job, but 66 points in 215 games says the offence is not coming.
The Physical Game
6-0 and 188 and light for a centre taking defensive draws. He forechecks honestly without winning many battles against size.
67 penalty minutes in 80 games and 139 in 215 for his career is a high rate for a fourth-line forward with no physical edge, and most of it is the stick foul that follows losing a step. On a club with a 30th-ranked power play, giving the other side one is expensive.
The Intangibles
Seventeenth overall in 2019 by Vegas, traded here in the Jack Eichel deal, and 215 games and 66 points at 23.
He is the ninth first-round pick on this roster and the one furthest from justifying it. Seventeen points in eighty games at 23 is a fourth-line centre’s line, and that is now the likeliest career.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“**He carries the puck out of his own end rather than chipping it**, and the skating is why he holds a job, but 66 points in 215 games says the offence is not coming.”
“He forechecks honestly without winning many battles against size.”
“**67 penalty minutes in 80 games and 139 in 215 for his career** is a high rate for a fourth-line forward with no physical edge, and most of it is **the stick foul that follows losing a step.**”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 917 minutes
- Expected goals
- 47.2%
- 33rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.9%
- 71st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 30 against. Expected: 34.3 and 38.4.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 80 games
- Top speed
- 22.4 mph
- 59th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.06 a game
- Distance
- 2.06 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 84.9 mph
- 38th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 917 minutes at five-on-five
- Kyle Okposooff the roster33%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- BUF took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.2% — 1.7 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 917 minutes at five-on-five — 49th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Dahlin | 53.9% | 43.9% | 50.8% |
| Owen Power | 41.7% | 50.2% | 51.0% |
| Kyle Okposo | 48.5% | 46.6% | 47.9% |
53.9% together, 43.9% for him apart and 50.8% for Dahlin apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
109 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.