Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

26

Sean Walker

Carolina Hurricanes Defense

A 57.4 per cent chance share, a minus-7, and 15 goals of finishing and goaltending disappearing from underneath him.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19LAK393710-88100555.515:26
2019-20LAK7051924-12260001273.918:50
2020-21LAK4751318-1318000925.418:10
2021-22LAK6022-14000180.018:22
2022-23LAK7031013-336001943.214:50
2023-24PHI/COL81101929+11500211506.719:14
2024-25CAR8251116-7460001443.516:50
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—3953181112-331881226804.617:22

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 11 assists in 82 games for 16 points, minus-7, on 16:50 a night.

56.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 95th percentile, over 1,194 minutes. His on-ice goals were 44-46 against an expected 57-44 — the largest gap on the roster between what a player’s minutes created and what the scoreboard recorded, and it produced a minus-7.

The Finesse Game

Modest. 144 shots and 5 goals, two-thirds of them from beyond 40 feet, and a first pass that is quick without being creative.

He moves the puck and joins the rush occasionally and does not attempt anything difficult. On a third pair on this club, that is the entire job description.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 191, and small for a defenceman. He defends with feet and stick rather than weight and does not clear a net front.

46 penalty minutes over 82 games is a high total for a third-pair defenceman and reflects a man who is occasionally overmatched physically.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, three organisations, and a career of being a useful third-pair defenceman who is worth more to a possession team than to anybody else.

At 31 the projection is what happened. The minus-7 should be ignored entirely: a 97th-percentile chance share with a negative rating is a goaltending fact, not a defenceman one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, three organisations, and a career of being a useful third-pair defenceman who is worth more to a possession team than to anybody else.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “does not clear a net front”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He defends with feet and stick rather than weight”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “46 penalty minutes over 82 games is a high total for a third-pair defenceman and reflects a man who is occasionally overmatched physically.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “a first pass that is quick without being creative”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,194 minutes

Expected goals
56.8%
96th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
60.5%
99th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 46 against. Expected: 57.4 and 43.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
30th
Numbers
96th

The numbers rank him 66 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
92nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
1.12 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.48 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.4 mph
57th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1194 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CAR took 55.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.8% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,194 minutes at five-on-five — 84th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Shayne Gostisbehere60.6%49.2%57.9%
Jesperi Kotkaniemi57.0%56.7%54.0%
Eric Robinson55.3%57.5%56.4%

60.6% together, 49.2% for him apart and 57.9% for Gostisbehere apart. He was worse away from Gostisbehere, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Gostisbehere did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

220 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 66% from beyond forty.