Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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71

Tyson Foerster

Philadelphia Flyers Right Wing

25 goals at a 17.6 per cent conversion, the highest rate of any regular in this chapter.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23PHI8347+280001520.016:34
2023-24PHI7720133303241216712.017:16
2024-25PHI81251843-94960214217.616:52
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—166483583-789101432414.817:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

25 goals and 18 assists in 81 games — 43 points at 16:52 a night, with 6 power-play goals and 49 penalty minutes.

53.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 68th percentile. His ice went 39-41 against an expectation of 41.55-36.21 — five goals conceded above expectation with him on the ice, which is a number no forward earns on his own.

The Finesse Game

142 attempts at a median of 23 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20, converting at 17.6 per cent — the highest rate of any regular here. The shot is heavy and the release is quick and it is the reason he is in the league.

18 assists in 81 games. He is a finisher and the passing is functional; he needs somebody to find him and he gets to the right place to be found.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 215 and he plays a heavy, honest game. He goes to the net, he takes the cross-check to stay there, and he forechecks properly.

49 penalty minutes in 81 games is a high rate for a scorer and most of it is the extra shove after the whistle. He is not an agitator by trade but he does not back out of one.

The Intangibles

Twenty-third overall in 2020 and 166 games in, with 20 and 25 goals in his two full seasons.

He is 23. On a club that finished 27th in goals scored, a winger who converts at that rate from that distance is one of the few things about the last two seasons that has gone to plan.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He goes to the net, he takes the cross-check to stay there, and he forechecks properly.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He goes to the net, he takes the cross-check to stay there, and he forechecks properly.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He is a finisher and the passing is functional; he needs somebody to find him and he gets to the right place to be found.”

  • retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “**49 penalty minutes in 81 games** is a high rate for a scorer and most of it is the extra shove after the whistle.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,080 minutes

Expected goals
53.4%
81st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.7%
31st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 39 for, 41 against. Expected: 41.5 and 36.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
72nd
Numbers
81st

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
26th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.65 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.65 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
99.1 mph
99th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1080 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PHI took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.4% — 1.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,080 minutes at five-on-five — 72nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Noah Cates55.1%49.1%39.8%
Bobby Brink55.3%50.3%49.1%
Travis Sanheim50.4%56.6%54.8%

55.1% together, 49.1% for him apart and 39.8% for Cates apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

219 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.