This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

Tyler Johnson

Five-foot-eight, three Stanley Cup finals behind him, and 56 games on a club going nowhere.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2012-13	TBL	14	3	3	6	+3	4	0	0	0	11	27.3	13:04
2013-14	TBL	82	24	26	50	+23	26	5	5	4	181	13.3	18:47
2014-15	TBL	77	29	43	72	+33	24	8	0	6	203	14.3	17:14
2015-16	TBL	69	14	24	38	+4	20	3	0	7	167	8.4	17:08
2016-17	TBL	66	19	26	45	-5	28	6	0	3	130	14.6	18:49
2017-18	TBL	81	21	29	50	+3	24	4	2	3	186	11.3	17:00
2018-19	TBL	80	29	18	47	+15	28	1	1	4	163	17.8	15:57
2019-20	TBL	65	14	17	31	+9	16	1	0	2	113	12.4	14:33
2020-21	TBL	55	8	14	22	-1	16	2	0	1	77	10.4	13:40
2021-22	CHI	26	3	4	7	-8	12	0	0	0	30	10.0	12:59
2022-23	CHI	56	12	20	32	-21	16	4	0	0	125	9.6	16:34
2023-24 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	671	176	224	400	+55	214	34	8	30	1386	12.7	16:32

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 20 assists in 56 games — 32 points at 16:34 a night, minus-21, with 125 shots at 9.60 per cent.

42.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 747 minutes, the 10th percentile. His ice went 24-36 against an expectation of 24.99-33.59.

38.6 per cent of his even-strength shifts started in the offensive zone, the 8th percentile.

The Finesse Game

125 attempts at a median of 26 feet, 36 per cent from inside twenty and 20 per cent from beyond forty. Seven goals on 47 shots from inside twenty, four from the middle band, one on twenty from beyond forty.

176 goals and 400 points in 671 career games at 12.70 per cent, and 32 points in 56 games is a better rate than the raw total suggests. At 33 he is still a useful offensive player, which on this roster made him one of the few men worth watching.

The shot is 86.0 mph at the 16th percentile. It never was the weapon; the release and the reading were.

The Physical Game

5-8 and 191, which is small and thick rather than small and quick, with 16 penalty minutes.

22.5 mph at the 61st percentile, 0.9 bursts a game at the 47th, 2.54 miles at the 45th. Every tracking number is ordinary, and he has played 671 NHL games and won a Stanley Cup, which is the sort of pairing this book keeps having to admit it cannot explain from the data it holds.

The Intangibles

He arrived without a pick attached — undrafted, signed by Tampa Bay, and a decade there that reached three Stanley Cup finals and won two of them.

He was moved to Chicago in a cap trade and has been the veteran on a rebuild since. He is 33, he is being paid for what he did somewhere else, and he has not stopped playing properly, which is not nothing on a club that lost 49 games.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached
“He arrived without a pick attached”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 747 minutes

Expected goals: 42.7%; 10th pct
Shot attempts: 44.1%; 12th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 36 against. Expected: 25.0 and 33.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

54th

Numbers

10th

The report ranks him 44 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 141 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 747 minutes at five-on-five

Taylor Raddysh57%
Jason Dickinson35%
Patrick Kanenow DET22%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club: CHI took 42.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.7% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role: 747 minutes at five-on-five — 34th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Taylor Raddysh	47.7%	36.4%	44.5%
Seth Jones	44.1%	41.5%	47.5%
Jason Dickinson	48.3%	39.8%	42.7%

47.7% together, 36.4% for him apart and 44.5% for Raddysh apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

170 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.