This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

Tyler Johnson

Two Stanley Cups, 615 games and a plus-76, arriving at 32 after 26 games and back surgery.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2012-13	TBL	14	3	3	6	+3	4	0	0	0	11	27.3	13:04
2013-14	TBL	82	24	26	50	+23	26	5	5	4	181	13.3	18:47
2014-15	TBL	77	29	43	72	+33	24	8	0	6	203	14.3	17:14
2015-16	TBL	69	14	24	38	+4	20	3	0	7	167	8.4	17:08
2016-17	TBL	66	19	26	45	-5	28	6	0	3	130	14.6	18:49
2017-18	TBL	81	21	29	50	+3	24	4	2	3	186	11.3	17:00
2018-19	TBL	80	29	18	47	+15	28	1	1	4	163	17.8	15:57
2019-20	TBL	65	14	17	31	+9	16	1	0	2	113	12.4	14:33
2020-21	TBL	55	8	14	22	-1	16	2	0	1	77	10.4	13:40
2021-22	CHI	26	3	4	7	-8	12	0	0	0	30	10.0	12:59
2022-23 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	615	164	204	368	+76	198	30	8	30	1261	13.0	16:31

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 4 assists in 26 games — 7 points at 12:59 a night, minus-8, with 12 penalty minutes.

43.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 278 minutes. His ice went 9-16 against an expectation of 10.17-13.36.

Two hundred and seventy-eight minutes is below the 500 this book requires before it will rank a player, so no percentiles are quoted here. Twenty-six games is the fewest of a ten-year career.

The Finesse Game

Thirty shots and three goals at 10 per cent, from a median of 24 feet with 36 per cent from the slot. His top shot speed was 80.4 mph, the softest reading on this roster.

One hundred and sixty-four goals and 368 points in 615 career games, and 29 goals in 2014-15 remains the high-water mark of a career built on a first line in Tampa Bay.

The Physical Game

5-8 and 191. He has never been a physical forward, and the twenty-six games are the fewest of a ten-year career. Nothing here measures why, which matters, because a 32-year-old’s availability is the whole question.

23.0 mph is a high top speed for a 32-year-old and it came out of 26 games, which is a third of a season’s chances at one: the reading is if anything conservative.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Spokane, two Stanley Cups, and 615 NHL games at 32 with a career plus-76.

He arrived here a year ago and played 26 games. On a club that has traded Alex DeBrincat, Dylan Strome, Kirby Dach and Dominik Kubalik, a healthy Tyler Johnson is a second-line centre, and nothing on this page says he will be healthy.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached
“Undrafted out of Spokane, two Stanley Cups, and 615 NHL games at 32 with a career plus-76.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 278 minutes

Expected goals: 43.2%; 11th pct
Shot attempts: 41.7%; 4th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 9 for, 16 against. Expected: 10.2 and 13.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

58th

Numbers

11th

The report ranks him 47 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 26 games

Top speed: 23.0 mph; 87th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.50 a game
Distance: 1.98 miles a game
Hardest shot: 80.4 mph; 22nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 278 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club: CHI took 45.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.2% — 2.2 below the club he did it on.
The role: 278 minutes at five-on-five — 6th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Jonathan Toews	53.6%	31.2%	46.0%
Dominik Kubalik	43.0%	43.5%	45.6%
Jake McCabe	41.1%	44.4%	43.5%

53.6% together, 31.2% for him apart and 46.0% for Toews apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

42 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.