This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Tom Wilson

Thirty-three goals and a hundred penalty minutes, from a player who scored three goals in his first NHL season.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2013-14	WSH	82	3	7	10	+1	151	1	0	0	63	4.8	7:56
2014-15	WSH	67	4	13	17	-1	172	0	0	0	79	5.1	10:56
2015-16	WSH	82	7	16	23	+3	163	0	0	1	99	7.1	12:55
2016-17	WSH	82	7	12	19	+9	133	0	0	0	95	7.4	12:56
2017-18	WSH	78	14	21	35	+10	187	0	1	1	123	11.4	15:59
2018-19	WSH	63	22	18	40	+11	128	3	2	2	130	16.9	18:09
2019-20	WSH	68	21	23	44	-3	93	5	1	5	154	13.6	18:16
2020-21	WSH	47	13	20	33	+1	96	4	1	4	83	15.7	16:32
2021-22	WSH	78	24	28	52	+13	98	4	2	5	151	15.9	18:35
2022-23	WSH	33	13	9	22	-13	78	4	0	1	82	15.8	17:37
2023-24	WSH	74	18	17	35	-19	133	5	2	3	169	10.7	18:06
2024-25	WSH	81	33	32	65	+20	100	11	2	6	169	19.5	18:44
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	835	179	216	395	+32	1532	37	11	28	1397	12.8	15:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

33 goals and 32 assists in 81 games — 65 points at 18:44 a night, plus-20, with 11 power-play goals, 2 shorthanded goals and 6 game-winners on 169 shots, converting at 19.5 per cent, and 100 penalty minutes.

It is a career high in goals. 52.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 66th percentile. His ice went 59-41 against an expectation of 47.72-42.47 — level for and seven fewer conceded.

The Finesse Game

169 attempts at a median of 23 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20 and 17 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 19.5 per cent. He shoots from the house and the release is genuinely heavy.

32 assists. He is a far better hockey player than he was ever given credit for being — the hands in tight are good, he can distribute on a power play, and 395 points in 835 games is a top-six winger’s record built on top of an enforcer’s.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 225 and among the most feared players in the league for a decade. He finishes every check available and a number that are not, he clears space in front of both nets, and he fights.

100 penalty minutes in 81 games, and 1,532 in 835 career games. He crosses the line deliberately, he has been suspended repeatedly, and he is the reason opponents change their behaviour on the forecheck. The edge is the point and it always has been.

The Intangibles

Sixteenth overall in 2012 and 835 games and 395 points, all of it here, with a Stanley Cup in 2018.

He is 31 and had 3 goals in his first NHL season and 33 in his twelfth. Very few players have added this much skill to this much violence and stayed available enough to use both.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“**6-4 and 225 and among the most feared players in the league for a decade.** He finishes every check available and a number that are not, he clears space in front of both nets, and he fights.”
clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net
“He finishes every check available and a number that are not, he clears space in front of both nets, and he fights.”
takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is
“**100 penalty minutes in 81 games, and 1,532 in 835 career games.** He crosses the line deliberately, he has been suspended repeatedly, and he is the reason opponents change their behaviour on the forecheck.”
nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“**The edge is the point and it always has been.**”
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“169 attempts at a median of 23 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20 and 17 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 19.5 per cent. He shoots from the house and the release is genuinely heavy.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“the hands in tight are good, he can distribute on a power play, and 395 points in 835 games is a top-six winger's record built on top of an enforcer's.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,064 minutes

Expected goals: 52.9%; 77th pct
Shot attempts: 50.8%; 62nd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 41 against. Expected: 47.7 and 42.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

97th

Numbers

77th

The report ranks him 20 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 84 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed: 23.2 mph; 93rd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.31 a game
Distance: 2.96 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.9 mph; 83rd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1064 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: WSH took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.9% — 2.1 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,064 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Pierre-Luc Dubois	56.4%	47.6%	54.5%
Connor McMichael	54.2%	51.6%	51.7%
John Carlson	55.5%	51.1%	51.6%

56.4% together, 47.6% for him apart and 54.5% for Dubois apart. He was worse away from Dubois, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Dubois did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

258 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 33 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.