Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

2

Luke Schenn

Winnipeg Jets Defense

One thousand and seventy-two games, 852 penalty minutes, and three Stanley Cups.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2008-09TOR7021214-12711001022.021:32
2009-10TOR7951217+2500011015.016:53
2010-11TOR8251722-7340001283.922:22
2011-12TOR7922022-662000812.516:02
2012-13PHI473811+334000813.721:52
2013-14PHI794812058000785.116:32
2014-15PHI5831114-218000674.518:04
2015-16PHI/LAK7241216-282100765.317:34
2016-17ARI78178-985000941.118:03
2017-18ARI64167-1235001591.716:23
2018-19ANA/VAN26022-1016000300.013:55
2019-20TBL25123-823000313.212:27
2020-21TBL38224+251000434.710:45
2021-22VAN6651217+1561011786.417:13
2022-23VAN/TOR7041822+884000814.916:21
2023-24NSH63167+143000811.215:11
2024-25NSH/WPG76167-445000771.315:57
2025-26 so far
Career107244161205-4185221312883.417:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 6 assists in 76 games across Nashville and Winnipeg — 7 points at 15:57 a night, minus-4, with 45 penalty minutes on 77 shots.

49.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 51st percentile. His ice went 44-56 against an expectation of 42.60-42.89 — thirteen goals conceded above expectation, the only negative differential on this blue line. He is the third pairing and the results say so.

The Finesse Game

77 attempts in 76 games and 1 goal. 44 goals and 205 points in 1,072 career games is the entire offensive record across seventeen seasons.

6 assists. The first pass is off the wall and out, and under a heavy forecheck the exits stop. There is nothing here and there has not been for a decade.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 225 and he still hits as hard as anybody in the league. He clears the front of his own net by force, he blocks shots, and he fights.

45 penalty minutes in 76 games, and 852 in 1,072 career games. He answers everything and he crosses the line when he decides to.

The Intangibles

Fifth overall in 2008 and 1,072 games across nine organisations, with three Stanley Cups — two in Tampa Bay and one in Vegas.

He is 35. A top-five pick who became a fifteen-minute third-pairing defenceman by 25 and then won three championships doing it is a career very few players manage.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,088 minutes

Expected goals
49.8%
52nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.6%
39th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 56 against. Expected: 42.6 and 42.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
13th
Numbers
52nd

The numbers rank him 39 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with NSH · 884 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.8% — 2.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
1,088 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Marc Del Gaizo52.9%48.7%46.6%
Jonathan Marchessault50.5%49.6%47.3%
Steven Stamkos47.3%50.6%47.0%

52.9% together, 48.7% for him apart and 46.6% for Del Gaizo apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

107 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 65 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.