Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

2

Luke Schenn

Winnipeg Jets Defense

One thousand and seventy-two games, 852 penalty minutes, and three Stanley Cups.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2008-09TOR7021214-12711001022.021:32
2009-10TOR7951217+2500011015.016:53
2010-11TOR8251722-7340001283.922:22
2011-12TOR7922022-662000812.516:02
2012-13PHI473811+334000813.721:52
2013-14PHI794812058000785.116:32
2014-15PHI5831114-218000674.518:04
2015-16PHI/LAK7241216-282100765.317:34
2016-17ARI78178-985000941.118:03
2017-18ARI64167-1235001591.716:23
2018-19ANA/VAN26022-1016000300.013:55
2019-20TBL25123-823000313.212:27
2020-21TBL38224+251000434.710:45
2021-22VAN6651217+1561011786.417:13
2022-23VAN/TOR7041822+884000814.916:21
2023-24NSH63167+143000811.215:11
2024-25NSH/WPG76167-445000771.315:57
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—107244161205-4185221312883.417:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 6 assists in 76 games across Nashville and Winnipeg — 7 points at 15:57 a night, minus-4, with 45 penalty minutes on 77 shots.

49.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 51st percentile. His ice went 33-40 against an expectation of 41.12-41.45 — eight goals of scoring that did not arrive, on a ledger the goaltending had nothing to do with. He is the third pairing and the results say so.

The Finesse Game

77 attempts in 76 games and 1 goal. 44 goals and 205 points in 1,072 career games is the entire offensive record across seventeen seasons.

6 assists. The first pass is off the wall and out, and under a heavy forecheck the exits stop. There is nothing here and there has not been for a decade.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 225 and he still hits as hard as anybody in the league. He clears the front of his own net by force, he blocks shots, and he fights.

45 penalty minutes in 76 games, and 852 in 1,072 career games. He answers everything and he crosses the line when he decides to.

The Intangibles

Fifth overall in 2008 and 1,072 games across nine organisations, with three Stanley Cups — two in Tampa Bay and one in Vegas.

He is 35. A top-five pick who became a fifteen-minute third-pairing defenceman by 25 and then won three championships doing it is a career very few players manage.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    37% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 4th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “**6-2 and 225 and he still hits as hard as anybody in the league.** He clears the front of his own net by force, he blocks shots, and he fights.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He clears the front of his own net by force, he blocks shots, and he fights.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He clears the front of his own net by force, he blocks shots, and he fights.”

  • retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He answers everything and he crosses the line when he decides to.”

  • takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “He answers everything and he crosses the line when he decides to.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “The first pass is off the wall and out, and under a heavy forecheck the exits stop.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,088 minutes

Expected goals
49.8%
51st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.5%
38th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 40 against. Expected: 41.1 and 41.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
13th
Numbers
51st

The numbers rank him 38 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 76 games

Top speed
20.7 mph
16th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.08 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.17 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.4 mph
56th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with NSH · 884 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.8% — 2.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
1,088 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Marc Del Gaizo51.3%49.2%49.3%
Jonathan Marchessault48.5%50.2%47.5%
Steven Stamkos46.7%50.8%47.5%

51.3% together, 49.2% for him apart and 49.3% for Del Gaizo apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

107 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 65 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.