Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

22

Ryan Suter

St. Louis Blues Defense

One thousand four hundred and forty-four games, more than anybody in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2005-06NSH7111516+766000841.217:21
2006-07NSH8281624+1054100879.220:09
2007-08NSH7672431+3711011385.120:35
2008-09NSH8273845-16733031434.924:16
2009-10NSH8243337+4482011253.223:59
2010-11NSH7043539+20541011153.525:12
2011-12NSH7973946+15303111345.226:30
2012-13MIN4842832+224301914.427:17
2013-14MIN8283543+15343001505.329:25
2014-15MIN7723638+7481011501.329:04
2015-16MIN8284351+10303121884.328:36
2016-17MIN8293140+34364111645.526:55
2017-18MIN7864551-1341021494.026:47
2018-19MIN8274047-8413121365.126:42
2019-20MIN6984048-6122021117.224:38
2020-21MIN5631619+912100863.522:11
2021-22DAL8272532+1404001185.923:39
2022-23DAL8232225026001923.320:23
2023-24DAL8221517+14280011022.018:56
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—1444105576681+1207613642023634.424:21

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games with Dallas, 2 goals and 15 assists for 17 points, 28 penalty minutes, 18:56 a night and plus-14, with 1 game-winner. He took 53.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,431 minutes, the 78th percentile, and his ice went 61-55 against an expectation of 61.11-53.21.

Level with the chances at the offensive end and two more conceded than they called for. The 53.5 per cent is the best chance share of any defenceman on this roster and it was earned in Dallas.

The Finesse Game

161 attempts at a median of 52 feet with 78 per cent of them from beyond forty and 1.9 per cent from inside twenty — one of the six most perimeter-bound charts in this edition — 101 of those on goal, converted at 2.0 per cent against a career 4.44 across 2,363 shots.

576 career assists in 1,444 games. The value was never the shot; it was nineteen seasons of a clean first pass and a man who is never out of position, and 681 career points from a defenceman who has scored 105 goals is the shape of that.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 201 and took 28 penalty minutes.

761 career penalty minutes in 1,444 games. He has never been physically imposing and does not need to be; he takes the ice away before the puck arrives and has done it at 24:21 a night across nineteen seasons.

The Intangibles

Seventh overall in 2003 by Nashville, nineteen seasons, and St. Louis will be his fourth organisation.

One thousand four hundred and forty-four games — more than anybody in this edition — and a career plus-120. He is 39 and played all 82 last season, which is the thirteenth time he has played 77 or more.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He has never been physically imposing and does not need to be; he takes the ice away before the puck arrives and has done it at 24:21 a night across nineteen seasons.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “The value was never the shot; it was nineteen seasons of a clean first pass and a man who is never out of position, and 681 career points from a defenceman who has scored 105 goals is the shape of that.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “One thousand four hundred and forty-four games — more than anybody in this edition — and a career plus-120.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,431 minutes

Expected goals
53.5%
80th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52%
72nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 55 against. Expected: 61.1 and 53.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
57th
Numbers
80th

The numbers rank him 23 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
44th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.29 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.83 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
97.5 mph
84th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with DAL · 1431 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
DAL took 54.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.5% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,431 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Miro Heiskanen54.3%52.9%60.1%
Jason Robertson55.2%52.8%59.6%
Matt Duchene51.8%54.2%52.3%

54.3% together, 52.9% for him apart and 60.1% for Heiskanen apart. Heiskanen was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

161 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 58 feet. 2% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 78% from beyond forty.