Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
28

Jani Hakanpää

Toronto Maple Leafs Defense

Six-seven, and 85 per cent of his attempts from beyond forty feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20ANA5101+12000425.018:07
2020-21ANA/CAR57224+435001543.718:01
2021-22DAL804812+143000685.916:13
2022-23DAL8261016+1860001867.019:20
2023-24DAL6421012+1033001563.618:39
2024-25 so far
Career288153045+341730032685.618:02

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

64 games with Dallas, 2 goals and 10 assists for 12 points, 33 penalty minutes, 18:39 a night and plus-10, with 1 game-winner. He took 49.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 967 minutes, the 48th percentile, and his ice went 47-46 against an expectation of 37.51-38.37.

Nine and a half goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and eight more conceded than they called for. The plus-10 came on a chance share slightly below half, which is a crease and a set of forwards doing the work.

The Finesse Game

84 attempts at a median of 55 feet with 85 per cent of them from beyond forty and 4 per cent from inside twenty, 55 of those on goal, converted at 3.6 per cent against a career 5.60 across 268 shots.

Zero power-play goals in 288 career games. Eighty-five per cent of his attempts came from beyond forty feet, which is the most perimeter-bound chart on this club; the puck goes at the net to be tipped and 30 career assists in five seasons is everything else.

The Physical Game

He is 6-7 and 225 and took 33 penalty minutes.

173 career penalty minutes in 288 games. At 6-7 he owns the front of the net without moving and the reach takes away the cross-ice pass before it is thrown; there is no other part of the game he is asked to play.

The Intangibles

One hundred and fourth overall in 2010 by St. Louis, five seasons, and Toronto is his fourth organisation.

A career plus-34 in 288 games. He was a fourth-round pick who did not reach the league until he was 27 and has been a useful third-pairing defenceman on three clubs since.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 967 minutes

Expected goals
49.4%
48th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.8%
33rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 46 against. Expected: 37.5 and 38.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
35th
Numbers
48th

The two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with DAL · 967 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
DAL took 54.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.4% — 5.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 967 minutes at five-on-five — 54th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Esa Lindell52.8%43.1%57.7%
Matt Duchene48.1%50.0%53.3%
Mason Marchment50.8%48.9%54.4%

52.8% together, 43.1% for him apart and 57.7% for Lindell apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Lindell and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

84 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 53 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 85% from beyond forty.