Armchair Hockey Scout

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2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

71

Ryan McLeod

Edmonton Oilers Center

4.16 bursts over twenty miles an hour a game — eighth in the league, on a fourth line.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21EDM10011-2000030.012:47
2021-22EDM7191221-2122018211.012:46
2022-23EDM57111223+4180207814.114:11
2023-24 so far—————————————
Career—13820254503022116312.313:21

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 12 assists in 57 games, plus-4, 14:11 a night, 78 shots at 14.1 per cent.

55.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 670 minutes, the 90th percentile, with his ice at 27-26 against an expectation of 29.74-23.61. Three short at the offensive end and two long at the other.

Three seasons, 138 games, 45 points.

The Finesse Game

78 shots at a median of 24 feet, 39 per cent from inside twenty.

Inside forty: 66 shots, eleven goals, 16.67 per cent. Beyond forty: 12 shots, none.

80.4 mph at the 2nd percentile — among the very softest registered shots in the league. Eleven goals at 14.1 per cent shooting on 78 attempts, all of them from close range, is what a shot that weak can produce and no more.

The passing has not arrived either: 25 assists in 138 games.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 204, and this is the entire case for him. 23.3 mph at the 94th percentile, and 4.16 bursts over twenty miles an hour a game — eighth in the National Hockey League.

Only MacKinnon, McDavid, Point, Eichel, Gurianov, Hintz and Barzal got to twenty miles an hour more often, and every one of them is a first-line forward. McLeod did it in fourteen minutes a night on a checking line.

2.51 miles a game at the 43rd percentile — short shifts, all of them at pace.

18 penalty minutes in 57 games. He is not physical and at 6-3 that is the recurring complaint.

The Intangibles

40th overall in 2018 out of Mississauga, and a brother of Michael McLeod, who was taken twelfth in 2016.

He is 23 and one of the fastest players in the league, playing behind two of the best. The speed is the asset and it is a genuinely rare one; the shot and the hands are the reason it is a fourth-line asset so far.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • edgesa strength· changes direction at speed; the forechecker commits and he is gone

    “23.3 mph at the 94th percentile, and 4.16 bursts over twenty miles an hour a game — eighth in the National Hockey League.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “McLeod did it in fourteen minutes a night on a checking line.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is not physical and at 6-3 that is the recurring complaint.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 670 minutes

Expected goals
55.7%
90th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54%
85th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 26 against. Expected: 29.7 and 23.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
34th
Numbers
90th

The numbers rank him 56 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 57 games

Top speed
23.3 mph
95th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
4.16 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.51 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
80.4 mph
19th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 670 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
EDM took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.7% — 2.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 670 minutes at five-on-five — 28th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Warren Foegele60.9%51.0%55.6%
Darnell Nurse55.0%56.2%51.7%
Evan Bouchard61.3%53.0%56.9%

60.9% together, 51.0% for him apart and 55.6% for Foegele apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

109 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.