This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2023-24 report →
Ryan Carpenter
New York Rangers Center
The 11th-most buried chair of 652 skaters, the 90th-percentile penalty-killing load, and the 4th-percentile shooting rate.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | SJS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 7:27 |
| 2016-17 | SJS | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10.0 | 10:23 |
| 2017-18 | SJS/VGK | 52 | 9 | 6 | 15 | +1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 85 | 10.6 | 12:36 |
| 2018-19 | VGK | 68 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 4.9 | 12:37 |
| 2019-20 | CHI | 69 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -6 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 3.8 | 14:04 |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 40 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 7.8 | 12:41 |
| 2021-22 | CHI/CGY | 67 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 67 | 4.5 | 12:35 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 308 | 26 | 43 | 69 | -27 | 106 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 405 | 6.4 | 12:51 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
67 games between Chicago and Calgary, 3 goals and 9 assists at 12:35 a night, minus-11, thirty-six penalty minutes, 67 shots. Undrafted, and 308 NHL games with four clubs out of it.
The Finesse Game
27.7 per cent of his end-zone starts came in the attacking end — the 11th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. Ninety-nine attacking-end starts against 258 in his own.
Ten men in the league were given a harder chair than that.
4.77 shots per 60 is the 7th percentile at 4.5 per cent, the 4th. Sixty-seven shots produced three goals, on 82.2 mph — the 5th percentile for shot speed.
0.96 even-strength points per 60 is the 6th percentile.
0.78 giveaways per 60 is the 6th percentile — one of the lowest rates in the league, from a man who is almost never given the puck in a good place.
45.3 per cent of the expected goals is the 15th percentile and 48.4 per cent of the attempts the 33rd. Out of that chair, the attempt share is a real result.
The Physical Game
3.13 blocks per 60 is the 94th percentile among forwards, at 6-1 and 198 pounds in twelve and a half minutes a night. 9.68 hits per 60 is the 88th percentile.
0.85 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.78 taken — level, on thirty-six penalty minutes in sixty-seven games.
The Intangibles
1:55 short-handed a night is the 90th percentile among forwards, and four of his 26 career goals have come a man short.
22.3 mph is the 43rd percentile, 4.3 bursts per 60 the 40th, 9.62 miles per 60 the 48th. Every skating measurement is ordinary.
He is 31 with 308 NHL games and 69 points. The hits, the blocks, the kill and the giveaway rate are a complete fourth-line identity, and the chair he is given is one of the eleven hardest in hockey. Twelve points is what that costs and it is the correct price.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
28% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 3rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“1:55 short-handed a night is the 90th percentile among forwards, and four of his 26 career goals have come a man short.”
“Undrafted, and 308 NHL games with four clubs out of it.”
“3.13 blocks per 60 is the 94th percentile among forwards, at 6-1 and 198 pounds in twelve and a half minutes a night.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 694 minutes
- Expected goals
- 45.3%
- 19th pct
- Shot attempts
- 48.4%
- 39th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 16 for, 25 against. Expected: 21.2 and 25.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 14 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 67 games
- Top speed
- 22.3 mph
- 58th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.91 a game
- Distance
- 2.02 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 82.2 mph
- 28th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 with CHI · 604 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- CGY took 55.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.3% — 9.9 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 694 minutes at five-on-five — 31st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Murphy | 41.8% | 46.8% | 44.6% |
| Jake McCabe | 37.8% | 48.3% | 44.1% |
| MacKenzie Entwistle | 39.3% | 47.3% | 38.1% |
41.8% together, 46.8% for him apart and 44.6% for Murphy apart. He was better away from Murphy, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Murphy.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
92 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.