Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2023-24 report →

16

Jujhar Khaira

Chicago Blackhawks Left Wing

Twenty-seven games, three goals, and a career minus-44 from a 6-4 fourth-line winger.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16EDM15022-213000140.010:21
2016-17EDM10101+120011010.09:15
2017-18EDM69111021-7470127315.112:42
2018-19EDM6031518-1243010644.712:34
2019-20EDM646410-1938001698.712:32
2020-21EDM403811-142002417.312:03
2021-22CHI27303-413000329.413:36
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—285273966-441980263038.912:23

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 0 assists in 27 games — 3 points at 13:36 a night, minus-4, with 13 penalty minutes.

45.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 315 minutes. His ice went 5-9 against an expectation of 9.46-11.33 — four fewer goals for than the chances promised and two fewer against.

Three hundred and fifteen minutes is below the 500 this book requires before it will rank a player, so no percentiles are quoted here.

The Finesse Game

Thirty-two shots and three goals in 27 games, from a median of 23 feet with 34 per cent from the slot. Three points in 27 games is a bottom-of-the-roster line and it is the shape of most of his career: 66 points in 285 games.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 212, and this is what the club is buying — a heavy fourth-line winger with 198 career penalty minutes who can take a shift in his own end.

21.0 mph is a low top speed and 2.14 miles a game is a low workload, both consistent with a large man playing thirteen minutes a night on a bad team.

A career minus-44 across 285 games. He has never played on a club where his line was ahead.

The Intangibles

Sixty-third overall in 2012 by Edmonton, third round, and 285 NHL games at 28.

Chicago has traded four of its top six forwards and is playing a season nobody expects it to win. He is the thirteenth forward on that team, and the job is to be heavy and available.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    35% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 8th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 315 minutes

Expected goals
45.5%
20th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.1%
22nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 5 for, 9 against. Expected: 9.5 and 11.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
26th
Numbers
20th

The two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 27 games

Top speed
21.0 mph
13th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.48 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.14 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.3 mph
51st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 315 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
CHI took 45.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.5% — 0.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
315 minutes at five-on-five — 9th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Carpenter48.4%43.7%44.6%
Connor Murphy42.7%47.4%44.3%
Calvin de Haan51.3%43.5%45.7%

48.4% together, 43.7% for him apart and 44.6% for Carpenter apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

38 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.