Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

41

Robert Bortuzzo

St. Louis Blues Defense

The 4th-shortest median shot of 202 defencemen and the 8th-smallest workload, on a level chance share.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12PIT6000+1200030.010:54
2012-13PIT15224+3270001020.013:17
2013-14PIT5401010-374000500.015:29
2014-15PIT/STL51358-993000565.415:07
2015-16STL40213+252000474.313:16
2016-17STL38134+1115000452.214:05
2017-18STL724913+1141001765.314:48
2018-19STL592810+947000752.715:28
2019-20STL42246+1221001365.613:07
2020-21STL40145-347001313.214:10
2021-22STL73156-436000472.113:44
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—490185169+304550034763.814:22

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

73 games, 1 goal and 5 assists at 13:44 a night, minus-4, thirty-six penalty minutes, 47 shots. Seventy-eighth overall in 2007 by Pittsburgh — the third round — eleven seasons, 490 games, 69 points.

The Finesse Game

Thirteen minutes and forty-four seconds a night is the 8th-smallest of the 202 defencemen who played forty games.

His 42.7-foot median shot is the 4th-shortest of the 202, with sixteen per cent of his attempts from the slot at the 88th percentile and fifty-four per cent from beyond forty feet.

That is a real thing and it produced one goal from forty-seven attempts. 2.81 shots per 60 is the 8th percentile and 0.43 even-strength points per 60 the 3rd.

50.3 per cent of the expected goals is the 53rd percentile — the best figure on this blue line — against 47.0 per cent of the attempts at the 23rd.

47.4 per cent offensive-zone starts is the 246th-lowest of 652 skaters. A league-average chance share out of a slightly hard chair on a sixth defenceman’s ice is the best sentence in the file.

0.48 takeaways per 60 is the 7th percentile.

The Physical Game

5.86 blocks per 60 is the 90th percentile among defencemen and 8.08 hits per 60 the 89th, on the 3rd-percentile workload.

Thirty-six penalty minutes in seventy-three games, and 0.90 penalties taken per 60 at the 75th percentile against 0.54 drawn.

6-4 and 206 pounds, and he took 2:08 a night on a penalty kill that finished 9th in the league.

The Intangibles

22.0 mph is the 55th percentile and 8.58 miles per 60 the 63rd, against 1.2 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 at the 38th.

His shot is 94.6 mph, the 50th percentile — ordinary, and pointed at the net from forty-three feet rather than the blue line.

He is 33, with sixty-nine points and 455 penalty minutes in 490 games across eleven seasons. The blocks, the hits, the kill and a level chance share are what a sixth defenceman is for. One goal, forty-seven shots and a 3rd-percentile point rate are why the ice stops at thirteen minutes, and both halves of that have been true for a decade.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “5.86 blocks per 60 is the 90th percentile among defencemen and 8.08 hits per 60 the 89th, on the 3rd-percentile workload.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 863 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
58th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47%
29th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 33 against. Expected: 35.2 and 34.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
38th
Numbers
58th

The numbers rank him 20 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 73 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
69th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.27 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.96 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.6 mph
65th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 863 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
STL took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 2.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 863 minutes at five-on-five — 46th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ivan Barbashev46.9%51.9%42.1%
Jordan Kyrou50.5%50.2%47.6%
Pavel Buchnevich59.9%46.5%52.6%

46.9% together, 51.9% for him apart and 42.1% for Barbashev apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Barbashev behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

67 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 54% from beyond forty.