Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

19

Reilly Smith

Vegas Golden Knights Right Wing

Fifty-six games at the 22nd-fewest penalties taken per 60 of 393 forwards, killing 1:46 a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12DAL3000-3200020.08:24
2012-13DAL3736908000348.810:55
2013-14BOS82203151+281460314613.714:42
2014-15BOS81132740+7201001439.115:24
2015-16FLA82252550+193150317314.418:37
2016-17FLA80152237-13176131609.418:21
2017-18VGK67223860+312471416213.617:55
2018-19VGK74193453+131441117810.718:16
2019-20VGK71272754+172032616916.017:55
2020-21VGK53141125+101842112411.317:52
2021-22VGK56162238+4832315010.717:47
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—686174243417+11317639924144112.116:58

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

56 games, 16 goals and 22 assists at 17:47 a night, plus-4, eight penalty minutes, 150 shots, three power-play goals, two short-handed and three game-winners. Sixty-ninth overall in 2009 by Dallas — the third round — eleven seasons, 686 games, 417 points.

The Finesse Game

9.04 shots per 60 is the 78th percentile at 10.7 per cent, from a 24-foot median with fifty-three per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet.

Sixteen goals in fifty-six games is a 23-goal pace, which is what he has produced in four of five Vegas seasons.

2.04 even-strength points per 60 is the 66th percentile and eighteen per cent of his points came on the power play, off 1:48 a night with the man advantage.

54.8 per cent of the expected goals is the 82nd percentile and 55.2 per cent of the attempts the 87th.

His ice went 35-32 against an expectation of 37.43-30.92 — two and a half short in front and one more against, the same shortfall every forward on this club carries.

2.53 giveaways per 60 is the 92nd percentile, which is the one figure in the file that reads badly, and it belongs to a winger who carries the puck out.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 185 pounds, and eight penalty minutes in fifty-six games — 176 across 686 career games.

1:46 a night short-handed is the 84th percentile among forwards, with two short-handed goals, and 0.241 penalties taken per 60 is the 22nd-fewest of the 393.

3.31 hits per 60 is the 41st percentile and 1.39 blocks the 35th. The discipline is the physical trait here, and it is not a small one on a club that finished 29th on the penalty kill.

The Intangibles

22.5 mph is the 54th percentile, 4.6 bursts per 60 the 44th and 10.05 miles per 60 the 84th. Ordinary speed and a lot of ground covered, which is the shape of a man who kills penalties.

He is 31, a third-round pick, with 417 points in 686 games and a career plus-113, and five seasons on this roster. Twenty-six games lost and the same sixteen goals per fifty-six he has always produced. Nothing in the file is declining. Everything in it is thirty-one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.14 penalty minutes a game over 56, 6th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “1:46 a night short-handed is the 84th percentile among forwards, with two short-handed goals, and 0.241 penalties taken per 60 is the 22nd-fewest of the 393.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 761 minutes

Expected goals
54.8%
85th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.2%
89th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 32 against. Expected: 37.4 and 30.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
87th
Numbers
85th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 56 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
68th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.38 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.98 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.7 mph
58th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 761 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
VGK took 52.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.8% — 2.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 761 minutes at five-on-five — 37th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jonathan Marchessault55.6%51.5%53.6%
William Karlsson53.9%56.2%59.8%
Alex Pietrangelo57.4%52.7%50.8%

55.6% together, 51.5% for him apart and 53.6% for Marchessault apart. He was worse away from Marchessault, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Marchessault did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

195 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.