Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

55

Rasmus Ristolainen

Philadelphia Flyers Defense

A career minus-182, the worst figure in this edition by fifty-two goals, and 57.2 per cent of the chances last season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14BUF34224-156000523.919:07
2014-15BUF7881220-32264001216.620:37
2015-16BUF8293241-21334012024.525:17
2016-17BUF7963945-9581021863.226:28
2017-18BUF7363541-25481011823.326:30
2018-19BUF7853843-41381021822.824:38
2019-20BUF6962733-2462001284.722:48
2020-21BUF4941418-1836100735.522:17
2021-22PHI6621416-938000972.121:26
2022-23PHI7431720-432110863.519:01
2023-24PHI31134-68000462.216:41
2024-25 so far
Career71352233285-182369151613553.822:50

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

31 games, 1 goal and 3 assists for 4 points, 8 penalty minutes, 16:41 a night and minus-6. He took 57.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 461 minutes, the 94th percentile and the second-best share on the club, and his ice went 18-20 against an expectation of 21.47-16.08.

Three goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and four more conceded than they called for. Thirty-one games is the fewest of his eleven seasons.

The Finesse Game

60 attempts at a median of 47 feet with 63 per cent of them from beyond forty, 46 of those on goal, converted at 2.2 per cent against a career 3.84 across 1,355 shots.

233 career assists in 713 games. He put up 41, 45 and 41 points in three consecutive seasons in Buffalo taking twenty-six minutes a night, and has not been used that way since; the passing is better than the reputation and the decisions with the puck are the part that has always cost.

The Physical Game

He is 6-4 and 208 and took 8 penalty minutes in 31 games.

369 career penalty minutes in 713 games. He is genuinely heavy, punishes forwards along the wall and clears the front of his net by moving people out of it, and at 6-4 and 208 there are very few forwards who go through him.

The Intangibles

Eighth overall in 2013 by Buffalo, eleven seasons, two organisations, 285 points in 713 games and a career minus-182 — the worst figure of anybody in this edition, by fifty-two goals.

He took 57.2 per cent of the chances in 31 games last season, which is the 94th percentile. Eight seasons in Buffalo on clubs that were routinely outscored is most of what the minus-182 is, and this is the evidence for that reading.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 461 minutes

Expected goals
57.2%
95th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.9%
71st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 18 for, 20 against. Expected: 21.5 and 16.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
26th
Numbers
95th

The numbers rank him 69 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 437 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 461 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PHI took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.2% — 4.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 461 minutes at five-on-five — 15th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Egor Zamula51.1%62.1%48.6%
Joel Farabee61.2%55.5%50.6%
Cam Atkinson57.8%56.9%48.0%

51.1% together, 62.1% for him apart and 48.6% for Zamula apart. He was better away from Zamula, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Zamula.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

60 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 63% from beyond forty.