Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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6

Egor Zamula

Philadelphia Flyers Defense

Undrafted out of Chelyabinsk, and two per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21PHI2000+1000050.017:04
2021-22PHI10000-6400040.016:21
2022-23PHI140440200080.013:23
2023-24PHI6651621+332201618.216:03
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—9252025-238201786.415:42

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

66 games, 5 goals and 16 assists for 21 points, 2 on the power play, 32 penalty minutes, 16:03 a night and plus-3, with 1 game-winner. He took 49.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 951 minutes, the 46th percentile, and his ice went 37-37 against an expectation of 34.43-35.57.

Three goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and one more conceded than they called for. Twenty-one points is a career high by seventeen, and the 46th percentile is the lowest share of the four defencemen who played more than nine hundred minutes.

The Finesse Game

93 attempts at a median of 52 feet with 83 per cent of them from beyond forty and 2 per cent from inside twenty, 61 of those on goal, converted at 8.2 per cent against a career 6.41 across 78 shots.

20 career assists in 92 games. He moves the puck cleanly and runs a second power-play unit adequately; two per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet says he has no interest in the middle of the ice at either end.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 200 and took 32 penalty minutes.

38 career penalty minutes in 92 games. He is tall without being heavy and defends with his stick rather than his body; he does not clear a crease and is moved off pucks below the goal line by forwards his own size.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Chelyabinsk, four seasons and 92 games at 24, all of them in Philadelphia.

He took four years and 26 NHL games to reach a full season and then produced 21 points in it. An undrafted defenceman who plays sixteen minutes a night is already worth more than he cost.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    82.8% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 92nd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    5 of 77 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 6.5%, 99th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, out of Chelyabinsk, four seasons and 92 games at 24, all of them in Philadelphia.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He is tall without being heavy and defends with his stick rather than his body; he does not clear a crease and is moved off pucks below the goal line by forwards his own size.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 951 minutes

Expected goals
49.2%
47th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.9%
78th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 37 against. Expected: 34.4 and 35.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
6th
Numbers
47th

The numbers rank him 41 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 56 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 66 games

Top speed
20.6 mph
11th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.12 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.31 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.8 mph
64th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 951 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PHI took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.2% — 3.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 951 minutes at five-on-five — 52nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Owen Tippett55.2%46.7%51.3%
Scott Laughton38.1%53.8%47.4%
Tyson Foerster47.5%49.8%57.2%

55.2% together, 46.7% for him apart and 51.3% for Tippett apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

93 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 49 feet. 2% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 83% from beyond forty.