Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Pavel Mintyukov

A 10th overall pick at 22 with 204 games behind him, and the numbers have not started agreeing yet.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2023-24	ANA	63	4	24	28	-20	24	0	0	0	88	4.5	18:51
2024-25	ANA	68	5	14	19	-4	20	0	0	0	69	7.2	17:36
2025-26	ANA	73	8	14	22	-3	17	0	0	2	79	10.1	18:26
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	204	17	52	69	-27	61	0	0	2	236	7.2	18:17

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 14 assists in 73 games, minus-3, 18:26 a night. Second-pair minutes, and 1,122 of them at 5-on-5.

The Finesse Game

The skating is the asset and it is a real one — he moves the puck up ice himself, joins as a fourth attacker, and has the feet to get back when it goes wrong. 22 points from a 22-year-old defenceman is a reasonable return.

The shot is heavy enough from the point but he is a long way out when he uses it: 53 per cent of his attempts came from beyond 40 feet, median 41. 8 went in. He has not yet learned to walk the line and shorten that distance, which is the difference between a 22-point defenceman and a 40-point one.

The Physical Game

6-1, 207, and he defends more with his feet than his body. 17 penalty minutes in 73 games says he is rarely the one initiating, and in front of his own net he can be moved.

The Intangibles

This is where the report has to be honest about a disagreement. The eye sees a mobile, offensively capable young defenceman with 200 games of experience at an age when most are still in the minors. The 5-on-5 numbers see something else: 48.8 per cent of the expected goals, 44th percentile, and the goals going 42-50 against while he was out there.

Both of those can be true — he has played big minutes on a bad defensive team, and somebody had to. But it has now been 3 seasons and the results have not moved. The next one decides which reading was right.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
22.2% of his attempts in the slot, 97th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,122 minutes

Expected goals: 48.8%; 45th pct
Shot attempts: 49.6%; 53rd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 50 against. Expected: 48.8 and 51.2.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

27th

Numbers

45th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 73 games

Top speed: 22.0 mph; 62nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.62 a game
Distance: 2.63 miles a game
Hardest shot: 82.1 mph; 15th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 4 assists, 15 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1122 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: ANA took 50.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.8% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role: Second pair, 1,122 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Drew Helleson	44.3%	50.7%	47.0%
Beckett Sennecke	53.5%	46.5%	50.4%
Ian Moore	51.8%	47.7%	50.1%

44.3% together, 50.7% for him apart and 47.0% for Helleson apart. He was better away from Helleson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Helleson.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

135 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 16% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 53% from beyond forty.