Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Fraser Minten

Photo by Kaiser matias, CC BY 4.0

Fraser Minten

Boston Bruins Center #93

Plus 21 at 21, and the best on-ice rate of any forward on the roster.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24TOR40000200030.011:26
2024-25TOR/BOS21325-520012412.513:02
2025-26BOS82171835+212010211614.715:33
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—107202040+162410314314.014:54

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

17 goals and 18 assists in all 82 games — 35 points, plus-21, at 15:33 a night. It was his first full NHL season and his 107th career game.

The Finesse Game

Nothing flashy and everything in the right place. He shoots from inside: 45 per cent of his attempts from within 20 feet, median 23, and 19 goals out of 168 unblocked tries. That is a young centre who understands where goals come from, which is not a given.

The hands are ordinary. The decisions are not — he plays a simple, quick game and rarely holds the puck a beat too long, which is why a 21-year-old could be trusted with 82 games.

The Physical Game

6-2, 204, and he finishes his checks without looking for trouble. 20 penalty minutes. He is strong enough on his stick to hold the wall against men 5 years older, which is the part that surprised people.

The Intangibles

He led the club in plus-minus and, unusually for a Bruin last season, the underlying numbers agree with it: 50.5 per cent of the expected goals, 65th percentile, the best figure of any Boston forward. The goals went 47-29 in his favour.

There is still a caution attached. The expected goals were only 43.3 to 42.4 — comfortably positive, not dominant — so a good deal of that plus-21 is the same shooting and goaltending that flattered everybody here.

But a 38th overall pick playing every game at 21 and coming out ahead on both the scoreboard and the process is the most encouraging thing in this section. He is the one to watch.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    5 of his 17 goals late or in overtime, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,055 minutes

Expected goals
50.5%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.9%
57th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 29 against. Expected: 43.3 and 42.4.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
61st
Numbers
59th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
74th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.43 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.54 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.2 mph
53rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

5

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 3 assists, 17 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1055 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
BOS took 48.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.5% — 2.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 1,055 minutes at five-on-five — 67th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Tanner Jeannot50.7%50.4%44.7%
Nikita Zadorov50.4%50.6%45.3%
Andrew Peeke46.1%53.0%44.7%

50.7% together, 50.4% for him apart and 44.7% for Jeannot apart. Jeannot was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Jeannot than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

168 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.