Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

98

Pavel Mintyukov

Anaheim Ducks Defense

Twenty-four assists from the blue line at twenty, on ice for fifty goals against.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24ANA6342428-2024000884.518:51
2024-25 so far
Career6342428-2024000884.518:51

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 24 assists in 63 games — 28 points at 18:51 a night, minus-20, on 88 shots with 24 penalty minutes. It was his first NHL season and he was twenty.

46.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 962 minutes, the 27th percentile. His ice went 27-50 against an expectation of 37.63-43.37 — ten goals of scoring missing and seven conceded above expectation, the worst pair of numbers on the roster in both directions at once.

The Finesse Game

88 attempts at a median of 41 feet, with 52 per cent from beyond 40 and 16 per cent from inside 20, converting at 4.6 per cent.

Twenty-four assists as a twenty-year-old defenceman is the number that matters here. He carries the puck out of his own zone rather than chipping it out, he gains the line under control, and he will attempt the seam pass from the point that a safer player does not. The skating is good enough to make the carry the default and it is why he plays nineteen minutes.

Some of the twenty-four are the consequence of playing on a club that spent the year defending.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 207 and the strength has not arrived. He does not clear the front of his own net against a grown forward and he loses more battles below the goal line than he wins.

24 penalty minutes in 63 games is a clean rate. He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator, and the fouls he does take are the stick foul that follows losing a step.

The Intangibles

Tenth overall in 2022 and an NHL regular at twenty, on a club with nowhere better to play him.

Twenty-seven goals for and fifty against on his ice is a brutal way to learn, and it is worth being clear about what it does and does not say. A twenty-year-old defenceman playing nineteen minutes on the thirtieth-place team is going to be underwater and the number is close to meaningless as a verdict on him. The twenty-four assists are not.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 962 minutes

Expected goals
46.5%
27th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.5%
24th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 50 against. Expected: 37.6 and 43.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
46th
Numbers
27th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 41 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 962 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
ANA took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.5% — 0.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 962 minutes at five-on-five — 53rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ilya Lyubushkin44.8%48.6%50.8%
Troy Terry43.7%47.7%47.1%
Alex Killorn41.7%48.4%50.2%

44.8% together, 48.6% for him apart and 50.8% for Lyubushkin apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

111 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 16% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 52% from beyond forty.