This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Jayden Struble
Montreal Canadiens Defense
A 56.3 per cent chance share — the best on the blue line — in the smallest defensive role.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | MTL | 56 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 6.4 | 16:07 |
| 2024-25 | MTL | 56 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +2 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 4.3 | 14:57 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 112 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -1 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 5.3 | 15:32 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
2 goals and 11 assists in 56 games for 13 points, plus-2, on 14:57 a night.
56.3 per cent at five-on-five, the 94th percentile — by far the best figure on this blue line, over 748 minutes. His on-ice goals were 30-32 against an expected 34.5-26.8, so the results ran 10 goals worse than the play.
The Finesse Game
Modest. 47 shots and 2 goals with 81 per cent from beyond 40 feet, and 11 assists in 56 games is a third-pair total.
The skating is genuinely good and the first pass is quick. He does not create and does not need to.
The Physical Game
6 feet and 207, and he plays a hard, physical game for a third-pair defenceman. He finishes checks, defends the front of his net, and does not get pushed around.
52 penalty minutes over 56 games is a high rate and it is the one thing standing between him and more ice time on a club with a 29th-ranked penalty kill.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick out of Northeastern, three seasons of being moved in and out of the lineup, and the best underlying numbers on the roster’s blue line.
At 24 the projection is a third-pair defenceman who should play 70 games. A 94th-percentile chance share getting 15 minutes a night on a club whose top four is at the 25th, 17th, 38th and 71st is a coaching question rather than a player one.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 748 minutes
- Expected goals
- 56.3%
- 95th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.9%
- 73rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 32 against. Expected: 34.5 and 26.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 48 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 748 minutes at five-on-five
- Lane Hutson41%
- Arber Xhekaj18%
- David Savardoff the roster13%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- MTL took 48.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.3% — 7.7 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 748 minutes at five-on-five — 33rd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Hutson | 61.1% | 52.9% | 50.0% |
| Alex Newhook | 55.6% | 56.6% | 49.7% |
| Nick Suzuki | 69.9% | 51.3% | 44.9% |
61.1% together, 52.9% for him apart and 50.0% for Hutson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
68 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 42 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 81% from beyond forty.