Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Nate Schmidt

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Nate Schmidt

Utah Mammoth Defense #88

Undrafted, 823 games, and plus 31.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14WSH29246+46000414.918:42
2014-15WSH39134-210000402.513:53
2015-16WSH7221416+1216001802.518:04
2016-17WSH6031417+2216000605.015:29
2017-18VGK7653136+19161011034.922:14
2018-19VGK6192130+2281011128.021:57
2019-20VGK5972431+11121001126.321:41
2020-21VAN5451015-74001766.620:06
2021-22WPG7742832-4101011173.420:13
2022-23WPG7171219+1583001016.918:28
2023-24WPG6321214+1016101752.716:49
2024-25FLA8051419+430000707.116:32
2025-26UTA8251722+3122001865.819:42
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—82357204261+13717480710735.318:55

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 17 assists in all 82 games — 22 points, plus-31, at 19:42 a night with only 22 penalty minutes.

His 823rd career game.

The Finesse Game

143 unblocked attempts from a median of 54 feet, 77 per cent from beyond 40, 5 goals. 57 goals in 823 career games.

17 assists in a full season is thin, and 261 points in 11 seasons is the honest rate. The value is in the exit pass rather than in anything produced at the other end.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 197, and he does not defend by force. 22 penalty minutes across a full season is very low.

The skating is the tool and it is still good at 35 — he retrieves under pressure and gets out cleanly, which is the whole job.

The Intangibles

55.4 per cent of the expected goals, 90th percentile, and 55.2 per cent of the shot attempts, 91st, across 1,390 minutes, with the chances 63.9 to 51.5 in his favour.

The goals came out 73 for and 49 against — 11 the wrong way, underneath a plus-31, which tells you where the plus-31 came from.

3 points in his last 10. He is 35, undrafted out of Minnesota, won a Stanley Cup in Florida, and is on his fifth organisation. 22 points looks like a fading depth defenceman; the chance share says otherwise.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,390 minutes

Expected goals
55.4%
90th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.2%
91st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 73 for, 49 against. Expected: 63.9 and 51.5.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
49th
Numbers
90th

The numbers rank him 41 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
21.5 mph
44th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.45 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.72 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.8 mph
93rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 3 assists, 15 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1390 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
UTA took 53.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.4% — 2.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,390 minutes at five-on-five — 92nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
John Marino56.4%53.0%51.0%
Clayton Keller57.9%54.2%55.9%
JJ Peterka51.0%57.2%54.6%

56.4% together, 53.0% for him apart and 51.0% for Marino apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

143 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 77% from beyond forty.