Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

John Marino

Photo by Pens Through My Lens, CC BY-SA 4.0

John Marino

Utah Mammoth Defense #6

Plus 42, 32 assists, and 4 goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20PIT5662026+1720100619.820:15
2020-21PIT5231013+58101565.420:44
2021-22PIT8112425+123000901.120:38
2022-23NJD6441418+2120000676.021:04
2023-24NJD7542125-641001577.020:57
2024-25UTA3511314+12000303.321:10
2025-26UTA8043236+4216012557.320:12
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—44323134157+811302144165.520:41

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 32 assists in 80 games — 36 points, plus-42, at 20:12 a night with only 16 penalty minutes.

His 443rd career game.

The Finesse Game

92 unblocked attempts from a median of 52 feet, 4 goals. 23 goals in 443 career games.

32 assists is a genuinely good return and it comes almost entirely from the first pass rather than from anything created in the offensive zone.

The Physical Game

6-1, 200, and he defends by being early — the gap control and the stick are the best parts of the game, and he does not need to finish checks to end plays.

16 penalty minutes across 80 games is among the lowest rates of any defenceman playing 20 minutes a night.

The Intangibles

54.8 per cent of the expected goals, 86th percentile, and 54.4 per cent of the shot attempts, 88th, across 1,441 minutes, with the chances 63.8 to 52.6 in his favour.

The plus-42 is the joint fifth-highest figure in this book, and the goals underneath were 82-50 in his favour.

That is worth sitting with, because it is the rare plus-minus with the work underneath it: 32 of the 42 came at 5-on-5, on chances that were 11 goals to the good, and both are the best figures on the club. It is the clearest example in this edition of why plus-minus should not be read on its own.

6 points in his last 10. He is 29, a 154th overall pick out of Harvard, and one of the most underrated defensive defencemen in the league.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.20 penalty minutes a game over 80, 9th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,441 minutes

Expected goals
54.8%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.4%
88th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 82 for, 50 against. Expected: 63.8 and 52.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
61st
Numbers
87th

The numbers rank him 26 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 80 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
79th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.76 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.65 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.1 mph
60th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

6

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 6 assists, 8 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1441 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
UTA took 53.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.8% — 1.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,441 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nate Schmidt56.4%51.0%53.0%
Clayton Keller57.6%53.4%56.0%
Nick Schmaltz56.9%53.8%54.7%

56.4% together, 51.0% for him apart and 53.0% for Schmidt apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

92 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 43 feet. 14% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 64% from beyond forty.