Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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23

Marco Rossi

Minnesota Wild Center

60 points at 24 from 5-9 and 182 pounds, with 53 per cent of his shots taken from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22MIN2000-1400050.015:35
2022-23MIN19011-78000130.012:31
2023-24MIN82211940-44720216712.616:44
2024-25MIN82243660+32670313617.618:15
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—1854556101-98590532114.016:58

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

24 goals and 36 assists in 82 games for 60 points, plus-3, on 18:15 a night.

52.9 per cent at five-on-five, the 77th percentile. 53 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 18 — the most interior profile among the club’s forwards — and 17.6 per cent conversion on only 136 attempts.

His on-ice goals were 56-39 against an expected 50.0-44.5, which is six goals of finishing above expectation at one end and six fewer conceded than the chances called for at the other.

The Finesse Game

A small centre who has decided the only way to survive is to play inside, and it works. He goes to the net, takes pucks off sticks below the goal line, and the passing out of those areas is genuinely good — 36 assists on this club is a real total.

136 shots is a low volume and the 17.6 per cent rate will fall. What should not fall is the location profile, which is the most encouraging thing about him: a man this size getting to the paint 53 per cent of the time is doing something repeatable.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 182, and among the smallest centres in the league. He competes far harder than the frame suggests, wins more pucks than he should, and takes an enormous amount of punishment at the net front.

26 penalty minutes over 82 games. Two consecutive full seasons at this size playing this way is a genuine achievement.

The Intangibles

A 9th overall pick, a serious illness that cost him most of two development years, and a long restricted free agency that was conducted in public.

At 24 the projection is a second-line centre who scores 20 and defends. The club’s willingness to argue about his value at length says more about the organisation than about the player.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    67.1% of his attempts in the slot, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    52.9% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.2% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.7, 92nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:35 a game at five-on-five, 93rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “takes an enormous amount of punishment at the net front”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “takes pucks off sticks below the goal line”

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “the passing out of those areas is genuinely good — 36 assists on this club is a real total”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,196 minutes

Expected goals
52.9%
77th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.1%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 56 for, 39 against. Expected: 50.0 and 44.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
88th
Numbers
77th

The two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.22 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.85 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.6 mph
37th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1196 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.9% — 3.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,196 minutes at five-on-five — 84th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mats Zuccarello51.3%55.1%45.5%
Matt Boldy53.8%51.9%53.2%
Brock Faber52.1%53.5%42.8%

51.3% together, 55.1% for him apart and 45.5% for Zuccarello apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Zuccarello behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

207 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 53% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.