Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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63

Matias Maccelli

Toronto Maple Leafs Left Wing

Ninety-three assists in 224 NHL games, and eighteen points in a season that fell apart in Utah.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22ARI23156-104000214.814:12
2022-23ARI641138490181016118.015:41
2023-24ARI82174057-4820214911.416:14
2024-25UTA5581018-138000869.313:44
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—2243793130-273830331711.715:15

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 10 assists in 55 games for Utah — 18 points at 13:44 a night, minus-13, with 8 penalty minutes.

He had 57 and 49 points in the two seasons before it and was a healthy scratch for stretches of this one. It is the sort of collapse that either means a player has been found out or that a club stopped using him properly, and the two are hard to separate from outside.

The Finesse Game

93 assists in 224 NHL games is the file. He is a genuine playmaker — he holds the puck on the half wall, he waits for a lane rather than forcing one, and the passes he attempts are ones almost nobody else sees.

86 attempts and 8 goals in 55 games. There is very little shot and there never has been: 37 goals in 224 games.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 187 and light. He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he is not used against a first line.

8 penalty minutes in 55 games. He is entirely out of the physical half of the game, which at his size is the only choice and it narrows where he can be used considerably.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick of Arizona in 2019 out of Finland, and 224 NHL games with 130 points.

He is 25 and Toronto acquired him from Utah in the summer for a conditional draft pick. On a club that has just lost a hundred-point winger, a 25-year-old who has twice produced fifty points is a sensible thing to buy cheaply.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    30.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.15 penalty minutes a game over 55, 9th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**93 assists in 224 NHL games is the file.** He is a genuine playmaker — he holds the puck on the half wall, he waits for a lane rather than forcing one, and the passes he attempts are ones almost nobody else sees.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he is not used against a first line.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he is not used against a first line.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 673 minutes

Expected goals
52.5%
74th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.2%
92nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 20 for, 26 against. Expected: 27.9 and 25.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
30th
Numbers
74th

The numbers rank him 44 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 55 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
55th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.87 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.24 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.1 mph
60th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with UTA · 673 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
UTA took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.5% — 0.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 673 minutes at five-on-five — 26th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ian Cole51.1%53.4%53.4%
Nick Bjugstad51.5%53.0%51.6%
Mikhail Sergachev49.5%54.0%52.7%

51.1% together, 53.4% for him apart and 53.4% for Cole apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

141 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 24% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 30% from beyond forty.