Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Mason McTavish

Photo by Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0

Mason McTavish

St. Louis Blues Center #83

The third pick in 2021, 41 points, and the 85th percentile.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22ANA9213+320011216.713:05
2022-23ANA80172643-194470116110.615:22
2023-24ANA64192342-238641313014.616:17
2024-25ANA7622305203860218012.216:53
2025-26ANA75172441-154260314611.615:19
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—30477104181-542122311062912.215:52

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

17 goals and 24 assists in 75 games — 41 points, minus-15, at 15:19 a night with 6 power-play goals and 42 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Anaheim.

The Finesse Game

260 unblocked attempts, 22 goals, median 26 feet with 40 per cent from inside 20. That is good volume and good ice, and the conversion is fair.

24 assists in 15 minutes a night is a solid rate. 181 points in 304 career games.

5 seasons in, the offensive production has settled at roughly 40 points, which is some distance short of what a 3rd overall pick is drafted to be.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 219 pounds, and the strength is the best part of him — he wins pucks below the goal line, protects them, and takes a beating in front of the net without being moved. 42 penalty minutes.

He plays a genuinely hard game and the skating is the limitation.

The Intangibles

49.5 per cent of the expected goals, 50th percentile, and 53.1 per cent of the shot attempts, 81st percentile, across 966 minutes in Anaheim, with the goals 45-58 against.

That attempt share is excellent and it is the strongest argument on this page — the puck goes the right way when he is out there, and the finishing has not followed.

He is 23. St. Louis is his second organisation and the third-overall-pick conversation is not over yet, but the club acquiring him is buying possession rather than points.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 966 minutes

Expected goals
49.5%
50th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.1%
82nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 58 against. Expected: 47.6 and 48.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
50th

The report ranks him 39 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 75 games

Top speed
21.8 mph
32nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.39 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.42 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.5 mph
66th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

8

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 4 assists, 25 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with ANA · 966 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
ANA took 50.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.5% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 966 minutes at five-on-five — 56th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Beckett Sennecke50.8%47.1%51.9%
Cutter Gauthier52.0%46.8%50.6%
Jacob Trouba48.3%50.1%50.2%

50.8% together, 47.1% for him apart and 51.9% for Sennecke apart. He was worse away from Sennecke, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Sennecke did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

260 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 22 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.