Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

72

Justin Faulk

St. Louis Blues Defense

Twenty-eight assists at 33 and 22:27 a night, on the only pairing here whose chances went the wrong way.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12CAR6681422-16295021017.922:51
2012-13CAR3851015+115110766.624:00
2013-14CAR7652732-9372011523.323:25
2014-15CAR82153449-19307242386.324:26
2015-16CAR64162137-222712041848.724:03
2016-17CAR75172037-18324022257.623:08
2017-18CAR7682331-26483032113.822:16
2018-19CAR82112435+9476032175.122:25
2019-20STL6951116-3321011473.420:34
2020-21STL5671825+11351021176.024:16
2021-22STL76163147+41431061679.623:12
2022-23STL82113950-4342031965.623:23
2023-24STL6022830-2391011321.521:58
2024-25STL7842832-9301011243.222:27
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—980130328458-664784733322875.722:60

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 28 assists in 78 games — 32 points at 22:27 a night, minus-9, with 30 penalty minutes on 124 shots.

47.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 30th percentile — the worst mark of any regular defenceman on the club. His ice went 37-40 against an expectation of 46.14-50.15, which says the chances were poor and the results were worse.

The Finesse Game

124 attempts at a median of 46 feet with 64 per cent from beyond 40, and 4 goals at a 3.2 per cent conversion — the lowest of his career by a distance from a man who has scored 130 in it.

28 assists is a good number for a defenceman playing this role, and the first pass under pressure is still quick and mostly right. He runs the second power-play unit.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 208 and he plays a hard game. He finishes checks, he blocks shots, and he defends the front of his own net.

30 penalty minutes in 78 games at twenty-two minutes a night is a moderate rate. He is not an agitator and a share of the total is the stick foul that follows losing a step, which at 33 happens more than it did.

The Intangibles

Thirty-seventh overall in 2010 and 980 games and 458 points across two organisations, with a Stanley Cup here in 2019.

He is 33, an alternate captain, and has played more than twenty-two minutes a night in eleven of his fourteen seasons.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He finishes checks, he blocks shots, and he defends the front of his own net.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He finishes checks, he blocks shots, and he defends the front of his own net.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He finishes checks, he blocks shots, and he defends the front of his own net.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “He is not an agitator and a share of the total is the stick foul that follows losing a step, which at 33 happens more than it did.”

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**28 assists is a good number for a defenceman playing this role**, and the first pass under pressure is still quick and mostly right.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,390 minutes

Expected goals
47.9%
34th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.2%
20th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 40 against. Expected: 46.1 and 50.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
34th

The report ranks him 26 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 78 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
73rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.65 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.10 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.1 mph
79th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1390 minutes at five-on-five

  • Ryan Suteroff the roster10%
  • Scott Perunovichoff the roster8%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
STL took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.9% — 3.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,390 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Philip Broberg50.8%43.8%55.6%
Brayden Schenn46.6%48.5%51.1%
Dylan Holloway48.4%47.7%57.8%

50.8% together, 43.8% for him apart and 55.6% for Broberg apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Broberg and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

179 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 44 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 64% from beyond forty.