Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

72

Justin Faulk

St. Louis Blues Defense

Twenty-eight assists at 33 and 22:27 a night, on the only pairing here whose chances went the wrong way.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12CAR6681422-16295021017.922:51
2012-13CAR3851015+115110766.624:00
2013-14CAR7652732-9372011523.323:25
2014-15CAR82153449-19307242386.324:26
2015-16CAR64162137-222712041848.724:03
2016-17CAR75172037-18324022257.623:08
2017-18CAR7682331-26483032113.822:16
2018-19CAR82112435+9476032175.122:25
2019-20STL6951116-3321011473.420:34
2020-21STL5671825+11351021176.024:16
2021-22STL76163147+41431061679.623:12
2022-23STL82113950-4342031965.623:23
2023-24STL6022830-2391011321.521:58
2024-25STL7842832-9301011243.222:27
2025-26 so far
Career980130328458-664784733322875.722:60

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 28 assists in 78 games — 32 points at 22:27 a night, minus-9, with 30 penalty minutes on 124 shots.

47.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 30th percentile — the worst mark of any regular defenceman on the club. His ice went 45-56 against an expectation of 47.74-51.94, which says the chances were poor and the results were worse.

The Finesse Game

124 attempts at a median of 46 feet with 64 per cent from beyond 40, and 4 goals at a 3.2 per cent conversion — the lowest of his career by a distance from a man who has scored 130 in it.

28 assists is a good number for a defenceman playing this role, and the first pass under pressure is still quick and mostly right. He runs the second power-play unit.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 208 and he plays a hard game. He finishes checks, he blocks shots, and he defends the front of his own net.

30 penalty minutes in 78 games at twenty-two minutes a night is a moderate rate. He is not an agitator and a share of the total is the stick foul that follows losing a step, which at 33 happens more than it did.

The Intangibles

Thirty-seventh overall in 2010 and 980 games and 458 points across two organisations, with a Stanley Cup here in 2019.

He is 33, an alternate captain, and has played more than twenty-two minutes a night in eleven of his fourteen seasons.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,390 minutes

Expected goals
47.9%
30th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46%
17th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 56 against. Expected: 47.7 and 51.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
30th

The report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1390 minutes at five-on-five

  • Ryan Suteroff the roster10%
  • Scott Perunovichoff the roster8%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
STL took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.9% — 3.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,390 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Philip Broberg50.1%44.7%53.5%
Brayden Schenn45.8%48.8%51.4%
Pavel Buchnevich49.6%47.1%54.0%

50.1% together, 44.7% for him apart and 53.5% for Broberg apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Broberg and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

179 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 44 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 64% from beyond forty.