Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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62

Daniil Miromanov

Calgary Flames Defense

Undrafted, six foot four, and the eighty-seventh percentile of chances in twenty-four games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22VGK1101102000150.09:47
2022-23VGK14246-62100229.117:02
2023-24VGK/CGY24347-28000466.520:43
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—495914-812100836.017:13

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 4 assists in 24 games — 7 points at 20:43 a night, minus-2, on 46 shots at 6.52 per cent, and 8 penalty minutes.

55.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 432 minutes, the 90th percentile — the best mark of any defenceman on this roster. His ice went 16-14 against an expectation of 20.20-16.15 — two goals of scoring missing and two conceded above expectation.

Twenty minutes a night in twenty-four games after arriving in the Noah Hanifin trade.

The Finesse Game

46 attempts at a median of 52 feet, with 73 per cent from beyond 40 and 11 per cent from inside 20, converting at 6.52 per cent — a good rate from the point.

4 assists. He moves the puck quickly and simply and he will carry it out when the pass is not there, and 14 points in 49 career games is not enough to say more.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 207. He defends the rush with reach and closes the gap early, and he does not punish anybody or clear his crease by force.

8 penalty minutes in 24 games. He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Moscow by way of the Canadian junior leagues, and 49 NHL games at 27 after five seasons in the American league.

He arrived at the deadline in the trade that sent Noah Hanifin to Vegas. Twenty minutes a night at the eighty-seventh percentile of chances is a genuinely interesting twenty-four games, and on a blue line missing two of its top four there is a job available.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    55.6% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 49.2% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.4, 97th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “**Undrafted**, out of Moscow by way of the Canadian junior leagues, and **49 NHL games at 27** after five seasons in the American league.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “**He defends the rush with reach and closes the gap early**, and he does not punish anybody or clear his crease by force.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “**He defends the rush with reach and closes the gap early**, and he does not punish anybody or clear his crease by force.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “**He moves the puck quickly and simply and he will carry it out when the pass is not there**, and 14 points in 49 career games is not enough to say more.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 432 minutes

Expected goals
55.6%
90th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
56.9%
95th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 16 for, 14 against. Expected: 20.2 and 16.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
90th

The numbers rank him 66 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 24 games

Top speed
21.2 mph
29th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.50 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.00 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.3 mph
60th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 374 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.6% — 5.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
432 minutes at five-on-five — 14th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
MacKenzie Weegar53.5%60.7%49.8%
Mikael Backlund53.9%56.4%50.9%
Blake Coleman54.2%56.2%51.6%

53.5% together, 60.7% for him apart and 49.8% for Weegar apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Weegar behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

70 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 61 feet. 11% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 73% from beyond forty.