Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Lars Eller

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Lars Eller

Florida Panthers Center #20

1,184 games, and half his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2009-10STL7202+24100825.010:49
2010-11MTL7771017-448002798.911:08
2011-12MTL79161228-56622212912.415:19
2012-13MTL4682230+845101849.514:50
2013-14MTL77121426-15682131378.815:58
2014-15MTL77151227-64210715010.015:30
2015-16MTL79131326-13281121498.715:15
2016-17WSH81121325+153601211510.413:54
2017-18WSH81182038-63830216111.215:18
2018-19WSH81132336-1370111638.016:32
2019-20WSH69162339+34821115110.617:01
2020-21WSH4481523-1210026911.616:21
2021-22WSH72131831-44000211611.216:07
2022-23WSH/COL84101323+3460111407.114:47
2023-24PIT82151631-1324101549.715:58
2024-25PIT/WSH80101222-5360001049.613:18
2025-26OTT6851015+512012677.511:27
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—1184193246439-2564717103019769.814:52

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 10 assists in 68 games — 15 points, plus-5, at 11:27 a night with 12 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Ottawa. His 1,184th career game.

The Finesse Game

Thin now and correctly placed. 86 unblocked attempts with 49 per cent from inside 20 feet, median 20, and 5 goals.

He goes to the right ice and cannot finish from it any more, which at 37 is the ordinary shape of the decline. 193 goals in 1,184 games is what the career was.

The Physical Game

6-2, 207, and he plays the checking role properly — wins defensive-zone faceoffs, protects pucks on the wall, and takes 12 penalty minutes across a full season.

The skating went years ago and the ice time has fallen with it.

The Intangibles

48.0 per cent of the expected goals, 37th percentile, in 702 minutes — a fourth-line result in fourth-line minutes.

17 seasons, a Stanley Cup in Washington where he scored the goal that won it, and a career built entirely on being useful rather than good.

He is 37 and arrives on a club with Barkov, Bennett and Lundell down the middle, which makes him the fourth centre and the one taking the draws nobody wants. That is a real job and he has done it for a decade.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 702 minutes

Expected goals
48%
37th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.3%
29th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 23 against. Expected: 23.1 and 25.0.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
33rd
Numbers
37th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 68 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
52nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.10 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.82 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.7 mph
55th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 2 assists, 14 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with OTT · 702 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
OTT took 54.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.0% — 6.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 702 minutes at five-on-five — 30th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Fabian Zetterlund49.7%45.8%57.6%
Tyler Kleven47.8%48.2%57.0%
Jordan Spence55.6%44.8%62.2%

49.7% together, 45.8% for him apart and 57.6% for Zetterlund apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Zetterlund and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

86 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 51% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.