Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

92

Colten Ellis

Buffalo Sabres Goaltender

16 games, a .903, and not enough of either to say much.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2025-26BUF16842442.901455.903
2026-27 so far——————————
Career—16842442.901455.903

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

16 appearances, 8-4-2, a 2.90 goals-against average and a .903 save percentage with 1 shutout. His first NHL games, at 25.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 191, which is undersized for the modern position, and like Lyon he answers it by coming out to meet the shot. The technique is compact and the recovery is quick.

16 games is not a sample that supports strong claims in either direction, and it would be dishonest to manufacture them. What can be said is that .903 across them is above the league median of .896, which for a first look is fine.

The Mental Game

A third-round pick who spent 5 years in the minors waiting, and by the time he arrived the club had 2 goaltenders ahead of him. He played when asked and did not embarrass himself.

Over his last 10 appearances, .897 on 271 shots — a heavy workload for a third man, and a perfectly ordinary result.

The Intangibles

Buffalo has 3 goaltenders and no settled answer. Luukkonen finished the season stopping .922 over 10 appearances; Lyon finished stopping .880 over his; Ellis sits behind both at .897.

He is 25, out of options for hiding, and this season is the one where a third goaltender either becomes a tandem partner somewhere or goes back down for good. There is not enough evidence here to guess which. Ask again after 30 starts.

The numbers underneath

Recent form

Last 16 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

.900

save percentage over his last 8, on 230 shots · .893 across these 16

Each bar is one appearance, taller being a better save percentage. Filled bars are .920 or better.