Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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56

Kailer Yamamoto

Utah Hockey Club Right Wing

Sixty per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet, at 5-9.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18EDM9033-22000230.015:10
2018-19EDM17112-62000137.713:04
2019-20EDM27111526+17122004425.017:23
2020-21EDM5281321+9261006911.616:22
2021-22EDM81202141-14031411417.516:52
2022-23EDM58101525+12240139710.316:35
2023-24SEA598816-9182026113.111:59
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—3035876134+2012482942113.815:33

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

59 games with Seattle, 8 goals and 8 assists for 16 points, 2 on the power play, 18 penalty minutes, 11:59 a night and minus-9, with 2 game-winners. He took 51.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 582 minutes, the 65th percentile, and his ice went 15-18 against an expectation of 21.69-20.30.

Seven goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and two of goaltending above them. Fifteen goals for in 582 minutes on a 51.7 per cent chance share is a season that went nothing like the ice did.

The Finesse Game

90 attempts at a median of 18 feet with 60 per cent of them from inside twenty and 7 per cent from beyond forty, 64 of those on goal, converted at 13.1 per cent against a career 13.78 across 421 shots.

Sixty per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet and 7 per cent from beyond forty, which is the highest inside-twenty share and the lowest beyond-forty share on this roster. At 5-9 he lives below the dots and takes the puck off defencemen behind the net rather than trying to beat them to the outside.

The Physical Game

He is 5-9 and 178 and took 18 penalty minutes.

124 career penalty minutes in 303 games. He is the lightest forward on this roster and spends his shifts in the most crowded ice on the sheet, which is why 303 games have produced only 134 points and a great deal of admiration.

The Intangibles

Twenty-second overall in 2017 by Edmonton, seven seasons, and Utah will be his third organisation.

A career plus-20 in 303 games. He is 26, he scored 20 goals in Edmonton in 2021-22, and he has played for a different club in each of the two seasons since.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Sixty per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet and 7 per cent from beyond forty, which is the highest inside-twenty share and the lowest beyond-forty share on this roster.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “At 5-9 he lives below the dots and takes the puck off defencemen behind the net rather than trying to beat them to the outside.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 582 minutes

Expected goals
51.7%
66th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.5%
82nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 15 for, 18 against. Expected: 21.7 and 20.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
66th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 59 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
39th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.27 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.91 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.1 mph
65th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with SEA · 582 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SEA took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.7% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 582 minutes at five-on-five — 23rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Adam Larsson49.0%53.3%48.3%
Tye Kartye49.1%52.9%49.4%
Brian Dumoulin45.3%54.4%56.0%

49.0% together, 53.3% for him apart and 48.3% for Larsson apart. He was better away from Larsson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Larsson.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

90 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 60% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.